NBA Free Premium Play 11/15

NBA FREE Premium Pick: 703 Utah Jazz @ 704 New York Knicks
Rating: 4 units - Regular Play
Pick: Over 203 (Play up to 205)
Odds: -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle Sports OR -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
 
This will be a rare nice matchup for the Jazz offense. The Knicks have a very good rim defense, but the Jazz barely attempt shots near the rim. On the other hand, Utah shoots a lot from the outside and this is an area where the Knicks' defense struggles a lot more, as they prefer their opponents to shoot from much nearer the basket. With Gobert out and with Favors, who likes to shoot from mid-range, replacing him on the lineup, the Jazz offense will have a good opportunity to expose the Knicks defense, which is poor outside the rim, including a fairly poor pick n roll defense, as veteran Jarrett Jack lacks the speed to handle his opposing PG's.
 
On the other side, Utah without Gobert is a much worse defensive team, especially near the basket. The Knicks know to attack the basket a lot and they will expose Gobert's absence tonight time and time again. Porzingis will also have a good match up tonight and he has a good spot to bounce back after a poor shooting night against the Cavaliers. I believe this will be a high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

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