Track Picks

Track Picks

02/15 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 15 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Denver
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 213.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    I took Atlanta on their last game at Milwaukee, as even though the Hawks are a poor overall defensive team, they have a decent interior defense and a top 10 transition defense in the league, so they were a bad matchup for Milwaukee's offense, who needs to score in the paint and create fast break points to be effective. Today, Denver will be a much more favorable matchup for Milwaukee's offense. Denver has been playing with Jokic as Center and Chandler as PF, so their rim protection has been far from good, as they have allowed 53 points in the paint per game over the last seven contests. Also when they faced teams who like to run and score in transition, they allowed 23 fast break points to Oklahoma City, 17 to Golden State, 13 to Houston and 20 to Phoenix.
     
    Milwaukee's defense has been playing very well with their new coach, but they also had a favorable schedule with plenty of poor offensive teams in the Knicks, Brooklyn, the Knicks again, Miami, Orlando and Atlanta. The Bucks with Henson out has been using Maker as the starting Center, so I expect Jokic to have a big edge down low, as he will outplay Maker and explore the over help defense from Milwaukee as well. Denver's offense with this new lineup has been playing at the same level as last year and so, with both teams having clear edges on offense tonight, I'll be taking the Over in here.
  • Score 123-134
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/15 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 15 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Lakers
  • Home Team Minnesota
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Minnesota -9.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    If the trades are working for Cleveland, the same can't be said about the Lakers, especially due to Nance's absence, who was one of the LA team's top players in terms of net rating during the nice stretch the Lakers had. Without Nance, the Lakers are playing plenty of minutes with Randle and Kuzma on the frontcourt and naturally, they're being crushed at the paint and even a perimeter shooting team like Dallas scored 52 points in the paint against them and last night, the Pelicans scored 62 points in the paint. So, the Wolves' offense will obviously explore will issue as Minnesota's offense relies on the scoring near the basket.
     
    The Lakers raised their pace after the trades, but with IT2 on the team, they committed 17 and 20 turnovers in the last two games. Minnesota's defense has been poor lately, but they are an elite unit in creating turnovers. Minnesota is coming from a home blowout loss against Houston, so they should take advantage of this National TV game to bounce back against the Lakers who has poor chemistry right now and is playing their final game of the road trip, while being also on a back to back spot. I'm taking the Wolves tonight.
  • Score 119-111
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

02/14 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 14 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team New York
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Washington -4.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    The Knicks will be playing their third game in four nights, while Washington had three days off to rest for today, besides having Morris back tonight. Playing both Kanter and Beasley in the frontcourt is tough for the Knicks on defense, but now they "have" to use Mudiay on the backcourt as well. Hornacek is playing Mudiay and Ntilikina together on the backcourt... that's two guards whose shooting is poor, so their offense is also limited right now. Besides that, the Knicks' turnover rate has also increased a lot with 16 turnovers per game over the last four contests. This will be terrible against a Wizards team that has an aggressive defense that can create a lot of turnovers. Besides a loss on a back to back spot at Philadelphia, the Wizards have been playing very well lately and they've been winning their games with ease (even their home loss against Boston, if it wasn't for a stupid foul by Morris and they would have won that game as well), so I believe the difference between these two teams right now is a lot higher than just 4.5 points. Hence, I'll be taking the Wizards tonight.

  • Score 113-118
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/14 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 14 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Lakers
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 230.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This is a good spot for the Lakers, as they had 3 days off to rest and prepare for this game, while the Pelicans are returning home after a road trip. New Orleans has been playing at an incredible fast pace, trying to outscore their opponents and they've been often running out of gas late on their games. On this style, the Lakers are a very dangerous team, as they have plenty of quick and athletic players, something that the Pelicans' backcourt lacks. I expect the Lakers to be very competitive tonight, in an incredible fast paced game and so, I'll be taking both the Lakers and the Over tonight.

  • Score 139-117
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/14 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 14 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Lakers
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Los Angeles Lakers +5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This is a good spot for the Lakers, as they had 3 days off to rest and prepare for this game, while the Pelicans are returning home after a road trip. New Orleans has been playing at an incredible fast pace, trying to outscore their opponents and they've been often running out of gas late on their games. On this style, the Lakers are a very dangerous team, as they have plenty of quick and athletic players, something that the Pelicans' backcourt lacks. I expect the Lakers to be very competitive tonight, in an incredible fast paced game and so, I'll be taking both the Lakers and the Over tonight.

  • Score 139-117
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.08

02/14 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 14 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Toronto
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Yesterday I took Miami as I expected them to be competitive at Toronto, as they are a tough matchup for the Raptors. Even though the score was close at the end, Toronto had a huge lead midway in the fourth quarter and they blew it, so their mood at the end of the game wasn't great:
     
    “We got comfortable,’DwayneCasey said. “We stopped executing, stopped moving, stopped cutting, stopped being strong with the ball. They were hitting us, grabbing us and officials are not calling it, we have to adjust to the way they’re calling the game. We didn’t do it down the stretch.”
     
    “I’m upset even though we won because I know. I know what’s coming around the corner,” he said. “Like you’re going down a dark alley, here comes a group of guys with a baseball bat and you say, ‘Oh, hey, where’s the baseball game?’ It’s 12 o’clock at night, you know what’s coming around the corner. Again, for us, we’ve got to pay attention to detail closing out games and not getting hit over the head with a bat at 12 o’clock at night.”
     
    “It was terrible,” DeRozan said. “It was a terrible win. We can’t close out games like that.”
     
    So, we'll have a Raptors team in here a bit fired up while facing the lowly Bulls. Chicago wants to play with an uptempo style, firing a ton of treys and play little or no defense at all. That's a terrible tactic against Toronto. The Bulls may keep up with Toronto's pace at first, but then the Raptors' bench will just have another gear to crush the Bulls. Dunn returns tonight, but he'll only play 20 minutes and his conditioning is far from being at 100%. I expect an easy win for Toronto tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
  • Score 98-122
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/14 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 14 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Atlanta
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 206.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Detroit had a nice start of the Blake Griffin era and they thought they could keep winning by outscoring their opponents. The result of that was three losses with an average of 115 points per game allowed in the process. Even though they're now face a lowly team at home, there is a clear defensive sense of urgency for tonight:

    "Including myself, we allowed our offensive play, our frustration of missing shots to really get away from our defense," Drummond said. "That's kind of what we anchor ourselves on. If we don't get stops on defense, obviously it's not going to translate to offense. Those effort plays that we haven't been making, loose balls on the ground and nobody's been diving for them. It's just a toughness thing. We've got to get back to playing tough and just playing winning basketball really is what it is."

    The good news for Detroit's defense is that Atlanta will come to this game without their starting backcourt, as both Schroder and Bazemore will be out. So, the Pistons' defensive task for tonight will be easier than expected. On the other hand, Atlanta's defense is poor on the perimeter, but they are a very decent unit near the rim. Ilyasova is also out for tonight, but Atlanta has at least three capable defenders in Dedmon, Plumlee and Muscala, so they will use two bigs the whole game to handle Drummond and Blake, so we won't have a mismatch favoring Detroit's offense in here. Given all of these factors, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 104-98
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/13 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 13 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team Minnesota
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Houston -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This is a marquee game for both teams and with Houston being motivated and healthy, I expect a solid win for Houston tonight. Even with Butler back, Minnesota has been awful on perimeter defense over the last eight games, an area that the Rockets will obviously heavily explore tonight. The nba.com stats show how Minnesota has been one of the teams that has been allowing more wide open treys per game lately and this is a terrible sign against a team like Houston. The Rockets with Tucker and Mbah a Moute playing minutes together and if we add Capela to the mix, Houston's interior defense will be tough to deal with, something that will limit Minnesota's offense. Hence, I'll be taking Houston tonight.

  • Score 108-126
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/13 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 13 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Atlanta
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Atlanta +7.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    In theory, Atlanta's defense won't be an easy opponent for Milwaukee's offense as their defense packs the paint which allows them to have great interior defense numbers. Besides that, the Hawks are also a top 10 transition defense team. These are exactly the main strengths of Milwaukee's offense. So, in order for Milwaukee to crush Atlanta, they would have to show great floor spacing via 3pts shooting where Atlanta's defense struggles or via a huge volume and efficiency on pick n roll ball handler plays. However, Milwaukee shot 6-29, 7-24, 8-19, 8-26, 6-20 and 9-25 3pts (a combined of 44-143 30.7% 3pts) on their last six games, so don't count on that. The lack of skilled guards who can come off the bench for the Bucks is another relief for Atlanta's defense. The Hawks with Dedmon and Ilyasova as an unit are a lot more competent on offense than Plumlee and Ilyasova, so I expect Atlanta to make some damage on the perimeter and stay competitive tonight. I'm taking the Hawks in here.

  • Score 97-92
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/13 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 13 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 205
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Toronto had a incredible stretch where they crushed their opponents and where their bench was great. However, Miami is a tough matchup for them. Toronto beat Charlotte, but that was an amazing matchup for them, as the Hornets are a fast paced team, with a poor rim defense, an even worse 3pts defense and with a bad bench. So, Toronto took advantage of that and crushed them last Sunday. On the other hand, Miami is a slow paced team, with a great rim defense, good perimeter shooting and a good bench as well. All of these factors can break Toronto's rhythm, especially early in the game. On the other side, Miami without Olynyk has been playing with Adebayo and Whiteside together, which makes the team's offense suffer a bit. Toronto's defense has been a good unit and their bench unit is great on defense, which can help this game quickly become a low scoring one. I expect Miami to be competitive especially on the first half and so, I'll be taking Miami on the first half. As I expect this game to be a low scoring one, I'll be taking the Under as well.

  • Score 115-112
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

02/13 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 13 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Miami Heat FIRST HALF (+4.5)
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Toronto had a incredible stretch where they crushed their opponents and where their bench was great. However, Miami is a tough matchup for them. Toronto beat Charlotte, but that was an amazing matchup for them, as the Hornets are a fast paced team, with a poor rim defense, an even worse 3pts defense and with a bad bench. So, Toronto took advantage of that and crushed them last Sunday. On the other hand, Miami is a slow paced team, with a great rim defense, good perimeter shooting and a good bench as well. All of these factors can break Toronto's rhythm, especially early in the game. On the other side, Miami without Olynyk has been playing with Adebayo and Whiteside together, which makes the team's offense suffer a bit. Toronto's defense has been a good unit and their bench unit is great on defense, which can help this game quickly become a low scoring one. I expect Miami to be competitive especially on the first half and so, I'll be taking Miami on the first half. As I expect this game to be a low scoring one, I'll be taking the Under as well.

  • Score 57-55
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/12 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 12 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Orlando
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Orlando +4.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Given the low amount of talent they currently have, the Magic have been playing very well. I faded them against Milwaukee because the Bucks' best players on the wings would be too much for them and they were with Giannis shooting 14-24 FG and Middleton 8-13 FG. Offensively, Orlando will have some edge against Chicago's poor backcourt defensive combination of Grant and Lavine and their lack of rim protection as well. On the other side, Orlando's defense has been better at defending the perimeter as of late and that's good, as the Bulls are a team that attempt a high volume of treys. I expect Orlando to be very competitive tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

  • Score 105-101
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/12 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 12 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Clippers
  • Home Team Brooklyn
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 220.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Brooklyn without RHJ and LeVert has been playing really small ball with a fast tempo and lots of 3pts attempts. The Clippers with this new setup has been allowing a high volume of wide open perimeter shots to their opponents, as the Clippers' opponents have been averaging 13 3pts made per game over the LA team's last five games. This is an area that the Nets will certainly explore tonight.

    On the other side, Brooklyn's downsize has been causing issues on defense with 55.2 points in the paint allowed over the last five games. With Russell playing more as well, their pick n roll defense is also struggling right now. This is an area that the Clippers' offense led by Lou Williams is obviously explore. We're talking about two teams that are playing very fast right now and who will have offensive edges in here, so I'll be taking the Over tonight.

  • Score 101-114
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

02/12 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 12 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Detroit -2.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    The Pelicans were up by 28 points at Brooklyn in the middle of the third quarter against a Nets team that had literally no frontcourt with Acy playing as Center for large periods of time. Still, the Pelicans allowed Brooklyn to comeback, send the game to double overtime before they could finally win it. The Pelicans scored 70 points in the paint, but they got outrebounded by the super small lineup of the Nets.
     
    Now onto tonight's game, New Orleans will play at Detroit and this matchup is awful for the Pelicans, especially for Davis, who doesn't like to play at Center and New Orleans will have to handle both Drummond and Griffin tonight. In the first game after Cousins got injured, the Pelicans with Davis at Center position played against the Clippers and Blake crushed them with 10-22 FG, 4-6 3pts, 3-3 FT for 27 points, 12 rebounds and 7 assists. So, for tonight, I expect Detroit to have a clear edge on rebounding and in the inside game, which will put a lot of pressure on the Pelicans' inconsistent perimeter shooting. Hence, I'll be taking Detroit tonight.

     

     
  • Score 103-118
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

02/12 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 12 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team Philadelphia
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 211
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    I expect Philadelphia to have a similar edge to the one Indiana had yesterday against the Knicks. The NY team didn't show any resistance on defending the paint, with very bad transition defense as well. The Sixers are coming from a game where they scored 33 fast break points and 50 points in the paint against the Clippers. The Knicks showed that by starting Kanter and Beasley together on the frontcourt, their poor interior defense can be exposed by a team like Philadelphia. Besides the poor interior defense, the Knicks also showed last night that they want to run as a "run and gun" team by large periods of time, with Mudiay and Ntilikina playing together on the backcourt on a two-guards lineup. In fact, the 22 fast break points that the Knicks scored yesterday constitute a season high. The Sixers will want to run with them because that's their normal playing style and so, this game will be a fast paced one. Given these edges and the pace, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 108-92
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.16

02/11 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 11 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Sacramento
  • Home Team Minnesota
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 211.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Minnesota are coming from two losses in a row at Cleveland and at Chicago, two teams with perimeter based offenses that pounded Minnesota's poor perimeter defense. The Bulls only shot 9-26 3pts in that game, but forced the Wolves to guard them at the perimeter. On the other hand, Sacramento plays with a slow pace and with a post centric game, something easy for Minnesota to guard, who should also come with a more defensive oriented focus for tonight. The Kings won't have any clear defensive edge, but their two best defensive players are Couley-Stein and Koufos, two frontcourt players, and they should have good minutes tonight, which should limit Minnesota's edge near the basket. This should become a slow paced game and with these facts, I believe this totals line is set too high. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 111-106
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

02/11 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 11 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Over 208
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Knicks will have Kanter back tonight and so, their starting lineup will include Jack, Beasley and Kanter, a bad thing for their defense. In fact, their defensive ability will be subpar especially on pick n roll coverages and Indiana's offense will pound them with Oladipo running the show. In the last game between these two teams, Porzingis didn't also play and Kanter and Beasley started together on the frontcourt. Indiana scored 115 points and slowed their pace down in the fourth quarter because the game was a blowout. They scored 31 + 35 + 29 points in the first three quarters of that game. On the other side, the Knicks' offense should have some edge near the basket against Indiana's undersized frontcourt and now the Knicks have some quick guards off the bench like Mudiay and Burke. I also expect a fast paced game in here and so, I'll be taking the Over tonight on a Top Play!

  • Score 121-113
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +5.00

02/10 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 10 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Orlando
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Milwaukee -4.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Yesterday I expected Milwaukee's offensive struggles in their game at Miami. That's why I took the Under, but of course I didn't expect them to only score 8 points in the third quarter, which ruined our Bucks play. Miami's defense was a tough matchup for Milwaukee, but today they'll be facing a Magic team that has Simmons at PF, Hezonja, Fournier and Biyombo playing high 20's minutes at the Center position. Orlando is coming from two consecutive good defensive performances against Cleveland (which collapsed on the fourth quarter) and Atlanta, but these two teams are perimeter based, who attempted 37 and 30 3pts, while scoring only 38 and 36 points in the paint. Milwaukee will attack the paint and expose Orlando's defensive problems, something their last two opponents didn't. 
     
    On the other side, Orlando's offense is currently showing good dynamic and they're running a lot, as that's the only way of staying competitive while being so undersized. Milwaukee's bench was awful last night, but Orlando's second unit also lacks quality, unlike Miami's bench. I expect a fast paced game with Milwaukee exploring the edges their three best players will have and so, I'll be taking both the Bucks and the Over tonight.
  • Score 104-111
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/10 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 10 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Orlando
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 207.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Yesterday I expected Milwaukee's offensive struggles in their game at Miami. That's why I took the Under, but of course I didn't expect them to only score 8 points in the third quarter, which ruined our Bucks play. Miami's defense was a tough matchup for Milwaukee, but today they'll be facing a Magic team that has Simmons at PF, Hezonja, Fournier and Biyombo playing high 20's minutes at the Center position. Orlando is coming from two consecutive good defensive performances against Cleveland (which collapsed on the fourth quarter) and Atlanta, but these two teams are perimeter based, who attempted 37 and 30 3pts, while scoring only 38 and 36 points in the paint. Milwaukee will attack the paint and expose Orlando's defensive problems, something their last two opponents didn't. 
     
    On the other side, Orlando's offense is currently showing good dynamic and they're running a lot, as that's the only way of staying competitive while being so undersized. Milwaukee's bench was awful last night, but Orlando's second unit also lacks quality, unlike Miami's bench. I expect a fast paced game with Milwaukee exploring the edges their three best players will have and so, I'll be taking both the Bucks and the Over tonight.

     

     
     
     
     
  • Score 104-111
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/09 Tracking NBA Play #7

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 09 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Denver
  • Home Team Houston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 223
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    I don't like Houston's spot for tonight, as they are coming from a road trip and they had just 1 day off between games. They won the last few games and so, they'll come to this game with the mindset of just outscoring the Nuggets, which can be problematic for Houston, as Denver with Jokic at the Center position has been showing an excellent offensive dynamic, with 115.4 points scored per game over their last five games and while facing some good defensive teams such as Boston, San Antonio and Golden State. I think this is a very tricky spot for the Rockets and so, I'll be taking Denver plus the points tonight. On the other hand, with Anderson and Gordon back for Houston, the Rockets will have some offensive boost in here as well with no defensive gains, so I'll be taking the Over in here as well.

  • Score 130-104
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/09 Tracking NBA Play #6

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 09 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Denver
  • Home Team Houston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Denver +8.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    I don't like Houston's spot for tonight, as they are coming from a road trip and they had just 1 day off between games. They won the last few games and so, they'll come to this game with the mindset of just outscoring the Nuggets, which can be problematic for Houston, as Denver with Jokic at the Center position has been showing an excellent offensive dynamic, with 115.4 points scored per game over their last five games and while facing some good defensive teams such as Boston, San Antonio and Golden State. I think this is a very tricky spot for the Rockets and so, I'll be taking Denver plus the points tonight. On the other hand, with Anderson and Gordon back for Houston, the Rockets will have some offensive boost in here as well with no defensive gains, so I'll be taking the Over in here as well.

  • Score 130-104
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.08

02/09 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 09 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Minnesota
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 216
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Chicago is coming from a loss at Sacramento, where their defense didn't look good. Sure the Kings had a super slow start with only 9 points scored in the first quarter, but then they scored 32, 36 and 27 points in the following quarters. The combo of Grant, Lavine and Holiday doesn't work together. Minnesota's offense will surely explore the Bulls' poor rim defense and especially Wiggins, Butler and Towns will have very favorable matchups against Holiday, Lavine and Markannen respectively. On the other side, the Bulls' offense relies a lot on perimeter shoots and Minnesota's perimeter defense has been awful all season long, with 38.6% 3pts allowed on their last 10 games. Markannen will return tonight and this will help Chicago's offense a lot due to their shooting ability. I expect a very high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 114-113
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/09 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 09 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Milwaukee +1
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Milwaukee is 0-2 this season against Miami, so I expect them to show some revenge mindset on this game, as they had 2 days off to prepare this game and they're coming from some impressive performances. Since Kidd was fired, the Bucks' defense has improved a lot, especially on the perimeter. On this span of eight games, Milwaukee allowed only 26.8% 3pts (best mark in the whole league!) and this is especially important against a Heat team that bases its offense on 3pts shooting. Miami continues to be without Olynyk, but they'll have Wade back off the bench, however I doubt he'll be effective tonight without any practice with the team. Both teams have been playing at a slow pace lately and this is the type of game that I expect it to be a slug fest, as Milwaukee is shorthanded on the backcourt without Brogdan and Delly. I see this game being a low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Given Milwaukee's recent form and great defensive matchup, I'll be taking the Bucks to win this game as well.

  • Score 91-85
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.40

02/09 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 09 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 199
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Milwaukee is 0-2 this season against Miami, so I expect them to show some revenge mindset on this game, as they had 2 days off to prepare this game and they're coming from some impressive performances. Since Kidd was fired, the Bucks' defense has improved a lot, especially on the perimeter. On this span of eight games, Milwaukee allowed only 26.8% 3pts (best mark in the whole league!) and this is especially important against a Heat team that bases its offense on 3pts shooting. Miami continues to be without Olynyk, but they'll have Wade back off the bench, however I doubt he'll be effective tonight without any practice with the team. Both teams have been playing at a slow pace lately and this is the type of game that I expect it to be a slug fest, as Milwaukee is shorthanded on the backcourt without Brogdan and Delly. I see this game being a low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Given Milwaukee's recent form and great defensive matchup, I'll be taking the Bucks to win this game as well.

  • Score 91-85
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00
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