Track Picks

Track Picks

10/20 Tracking NBA Play #6

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 20 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Philadelphia
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Boston ML First Half
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line +122 / 2.22
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line +125 / 2.25
  • Write up

    No writeup for this play

  • Score 50-46
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.00

10/20 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 20 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Sacramento
  • Home Team Dallas
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 202
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Sacramento lost at home against Houston, in a game where once again the Rockets tried a huge amount of three point attempts: 12-45 3pts for just 26.7%. Even though the Rockets didn't shoot well from the outside, they had a lot of good looks, which shows that Sacramento's perimeter defense was far from good: lots of youth cause a lot of defensive errors. Besides this, the Kings also have a poor rim protection with Cauley-Stein being just too soft on defense most of the time. 

     
    The Kings use a fairly big lineup in the frontcourt with Cauley-Stein and Labissiere, which will expose Dallas' lack of size on the frontcourt. The Mavs struggled in the paint against Atlanta and Sacramento is coming from 56 points in the paint scored against the Rockets. On the other side, Dallas had a good offensive game against Atlanta, with good ball movement and nice outside shooting, which will torched Sacramento's poor perimeter defense and soft paint protection. I expect a high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

     

  • Score 88-93
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.16

10/20 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 20 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Portland -5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Indiana scored 140 points against Brooklyn via paint mostly with 66 points in the paint and 29-40 FG at the rim. The Nets have no rim protector other than Mozgov, who played only 14 minutes, so given the Nets' lack of size down low, the Pacers had no problems in pounding them. The bad news for the Pacers was that even though Brooklyn had a black hole on defense and lost Lin mid-game for the season, they fought for the win almost until the end. The reason for that was Brooklyn destroying Indiana on the pick n roll, something that Portland will also heavily successfully use tonight.

    Speaking of the Blazers, they crushed the Suns in Phoenix. Portland was just great on offense, with Connaughton having a huge night with 9-14 FG and 4-7 3pts, taking advantage of McCollum's absence, who will be back tonight. The Blazers were also great on rebounding, which prevented the Suns to run in transition as much as they would like to, while looking improved on defense against a Suns' offense that couldn't showcase any kind of ball movement throughout the whole game.

    Brooklyn crushed Indiana on the pick n roll with Lin and Russell and I believe Portland will torch the Pacers even more tonight with Lillard and McCollum. The Blazers won't probably score the 131 points that Brooklyn scored against Indiana on Wednesday, but they will have similar edges tonight. After facing the Suns, Portland will face another run and gun team that also has poor perimeter shooting and needs badly to score in transition and in the paint. Unlike Brooklyn, Portland has good size down low and Indiana won't surely score 66 points in the paint tonight, especially with their best player Turner out. I believe Portland will have a fairly comfortable win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

  • Score 96-114
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +5.00

10/20 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 20 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Cleveland
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Milwaukee +2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Milwaukee started the season with a good win at Boston. The Bucks used their perimeter size to put the Celtics in trouble and crushed the paint with 56 points in the paint for 23-32 FG at the rim. On the other side, Cleveland is also coming from a win against Boston, but where they weren't impressive in my opinion. With both Rose and Wade starting, the Cavs showed lack of floor spacing and looked fairly beatable in a game where the Celtics were obviously not well mentally after Hayward's terrible injury.
     
    With Cleveland's lack of floor spacing and 3pts shooting threats for most of the game, Milwaukee's defense will have a very good match up tonight, as they won't see their problems in defending the three on the weakside exposed. On the other hand, I believe Cleveland will struggle to defend the paint now that Love is playing at the Center position. The Bucks crushed the Celtics in the paint and I expect them to have an edge on this area in here as well. 

    I believe Cleveland's offense will have more problems tonight than Milwaukee's offense in torching the opponent's defense and so, I believe Milwaukee should win this game.

  • Score 97-116
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -5.15

10/20 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 20 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Atlanta
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Atlanta +5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Atlanta started the season with a good road win in Dallas. The Hawks won that game thanks to two things: Schroder destroyed the Mavs' small guards via pick n roll plays and Atlanta's frontcourt torched Dallas' undersize frontcourt by outrebounding and crushing them with 56 points in the paint and 24-36 FG at the rim. On the other hand, Atlanta's defense struggled to handle the very impressive rookie Smith Jr but compensated with their own offensive edges, something that helped them get the win.

    Charlotte lost at Detroit in their opening night game, mostly thanks to getting outrebounded and surprisingly committing 17 turnovers for a team that was known last season for treating the ball so well. Kemba had a nice offensive game, but that wasn't enough to beat the Pistons, as the Hornets' bench was terrible on offense with Frank and Monk combining a 2-18 FG shooting night.

    Now onto tonight's game: Atlanta's offense will have a tougher match up this time around, as Howard's presence at the rim is a lot more menacing than facing Dirk at Center and Barnes at PF. However, the Hornets have been struggling in defending the perimeter (as they're missing both Batum and MKG) and this is an area where Schroder should torch them tonight. On the other hand, Charlotte's offense is severely limited right now, with it pretty much being Kemba against the world right now. Atlanta's defense is fairly underrated and while Dallas showed good ball movement and some decent outside shooting last Wednesday, the Hornets won't have this kind of firepower to make Atlanta struggle in here. I believe this will be a pure ball game and so, I'll be taking the Hawks plus the points in here.

  • Score 109-91
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

10/20 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 20 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Detroit
  • Home Team Washington
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Detroit +6
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Detroit is coming from a comfortable home win against Charlotte. The Pistons dominated the boards battle against a good rebounding team and showcased a great ball movement, with 24 assists on 41 made buckets with only 8 turnovers. Tobias had a huge first half, Reggie seemed to have learnt how to share the ball and Drummond dominated the boards against Howard.  

    I believe the key factor for tonight's game will be the rebounding and turnovers. If Detroit plays like they did against Charlotte, then they'll have an important edge on both rebounding (Markieff is still out and so, Washington will have to use smaller lineups) and transition defense, as if they don't turn over the ball, then the Wizards won't have chances for early offense scores. Unlike Philadelphia which uses undersized guards (Bayless and Reddick), Detroit has lots of size on the wings, which will make Beal, Wall and Porter struggle. If we add a clear bench edge for the Pistons, I believe Detroit will be very competitive tonight and so, I'll take them plus the points in here.

  • Score 115-111
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

10/19 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 19 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Chicago
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -13
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This play has nothing to do with what happened in Chicago a few days ago, where Portis beat up Mirotic and put both of them out for this game. We are simply in presence of two teams with completely different levels of quality and also of team chemistry. 
     
    Toronto kept its structure from last season and even though they lost some backup players, but got CJ Miles who offers better floor spacing than Carroll ever could, while Powell will also have more minutes than last season. The Raptors are a team built for the regular season and on their "tune up" game in the preseason, they beat Detroit by 22 points.
     
    On the other hand, Chicago is projected to be one of the worst teams in the league this season. They want to play fast and spread the floor, but they don't have the shooters to do that with success. Only Holiday seems to be in good form right now, but Toronto will put Powell guarding him 1*1 tonight to stop him. Chicago will struggle to score tonight and the fact that they play at a ultra fast pace will work against them in plenty of games, especially against methodical teams such as the Raptors. I expect a clear blowout win for Toronto in here.
  • Score 117-101
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

10/18 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 18 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Milwaukee +2.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Boston treated last night's game as it was a playoff game, with Brown, Irving and Tatum playing 40, 39 and 37 minutes respectively. They will face a Bucks team tonight that is a very good pick n roll defense and that will focus on how to stop Irving.

    Milwaukee with big guys on the perimeter such as Giannis, Middleton or Maker will put Boston in trouble, as both Hayward and Morris are out, while Brown and Tatum played huge minutes last night. With the Celtics lacking depth and size on the wings, Milwaukee will have a big edge in this area.

    The Bucks have problems on defensive rebounding with Maker at Center, but Boston is a quite poor offensive rebounding team. The Bucks have a clear physical edge on this game and with them being a tough matchup for the Celtics, I expect Milwaukee to win tonight.

  • Score 100-108
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

10/18 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 18 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland
  • Home Team Phoenix
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 218.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Portland's focus is now on defense or that's what they are saying:

    "That let me know that ... we were in our right minds," Lillard said. "We came back really focused and locked in on (defense). Everybody was just on it. And it hasn't stopped."

    Many point to the deficiencies of Lillard and backcourt partner CJ McCollum, but the whole team needs to bring a locked in defensive energy. Head coach Terry Stotts knows it’s a team thing: “We have to be better defensively. That's been our Achilles heel. Two or three years ago, when we were a top 10 defensive team, we were an elite team. So that's still important."

    CJ McCollum is out for tonight and with that the Blazers will be a more defensive oriented team tonight, with Turner or Connaughton playing CJ's usual minutes.

    On the other hand, Phoenix's offense has already showed in the preseason their poor ball movement once again, with only 20, 19, 18 and 17 assists on their preseason games. If the Suns are incapable of scoring on transition, they struggle big time given their lack of ball movement. The match ups tonight also favor a relatively low scoring affair in my opinion: Nurkic will have a fight with a legit 7 footer in Chandler, Bledsoe will guard Lillard and CJ won't be "defending" Booker. So, there's a lot of offensive edges disappearing and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 76-124
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

10/18 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 18 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Detroit -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Charlotte will be without MKG tonight and that's a huge blow for a team which doesn't have a lot of quality options on its roster. Once again the Hornets' offense will rely on Kemba Walker, but Detroit is a nice defensive team which now has Avery Bradley to guard Kemba 1*1. The Hornets lack quality options on the bench and I don't see them being able to torch a fairly good Detroit defense in here.

    On the other hand, Reggie Jackson had a fairly poor preseason, but unlike last season he will have competition for the PG position, as Ish Smith was amazing in the preseason. Detroit seems to have more offensive options than Charlotte with Bradley, Harris, Reggie/Ish and even Drummond had a good preseason where he shot 16-20 FT! If the Hornets lacked depth with its full roster, now without MKG and Batum, Charlotte's offense becomes exclusively dependent on Kemba. Given all of these factors, I expect Detroit to pick up a comfortable win tonight.

  • Score 102-90
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

10/18 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 18 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Brooklyn
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Brooklyn +3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    I liked what I saw from Brooklyn in the preseason. They have a well defined system, run and gun with two ball handlers. The Nets play small ball a lot and so, their interior defense gets exposed, however besides the low amount of minutes Big Al will play, Indiana won't take advantage of that as both Turner and Young aren't bruisers.

    The post-PG13 Pacers want curiously to have a similar style to the one the Nets will use: a small ball run and gun system. The problem is that they don't have the shooters that Brooklyn has and with that, their floor spacing is not as good. I'm sure Indiana will try to beat Brooklyn at their own game, but they will trade bad long twos against three point shots from the Nets and that's just not good math. Hence, I'm leaning on the underdog in here.

  • Score 140-131
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

10/17 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 17 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team Golden State
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Golden State -9
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This game will be very different from last year's opening day game against the Warriors and the Spurs. In that game, Golden State was still trying to know how to use Durant, while San Antonio was already a well oiled machine and took advantage of the Warriors' lack of chemistry. The Spurs' bench crushed that game, but for tonight's game, I expect Golden State to do to Houston what San Antonio did to them in that game.

    Now the Warriors are a well oiled machine and they are playing a Houston team that is still trying to adjust to have Chris Paul on the lineup. The Rockets showed in the preseason that they will continue with their ridiculously high number of 3pts attempts with 55, 46, 46 and 53 attempts in their preseason games. This makes Houston a very good match up for the Warriors defense that is built to defend 3pts attempts. Golden State was #1 in the league in 3pts defense last season with just 32.4% allowed and with the Rockets having no Plan B, I expect Golden State to score a double digits win in here.

  • Score 121-122
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.08

10/17 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 17 October 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Cleveland
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Boston Celtics (+4)
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This Celtics team is new and they had some changes during the off season, so it's normal that they might have some struggles early in the season. However, they have a great coach and besides Marcus Morris, no one got injured in the preseason and they had a nice tune up game against Charlotte in the preseason.

    This game's focus will be in the Celtics, but what about Cleveland? Looking at their projected starting lineup (assuming that Lebron plays), we will have Love, Crowder, Lebron, Wade and Rose. There are three new players in the lineup and with Love playing in the Center position, there's another change in the team's system. Lebron was injured most of the preseason and so, the Cavs didn't have a lot of opportunities to develop their chemistry. In the only opportunity that they had to do that, it was against the lowly Bulls and Cleveland really struggled offensively in that game, with 21 turnovers, including 8 turnovers from Lebron.

    I just don't buy the narrative of the Celtics being a new team, while Cleveland has a consolidated roster and hence should have the early edge. I expect lots of emotions in a close tight battle, where Boston plus the points seems to have the value in my opinion.

  • Score 102-99
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

05/14 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 14 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team San Antonio
  • Home Team Golden State
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection San Antonio FIRST HALF +6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 42-62
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

05/12 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Washington
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 215
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 92-91
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

05/11 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 11 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team San Antonio
  • Home Team Houston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 214.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 75-114
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

05/10 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 10 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Washington +4
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -111 / 1.90
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 123-101
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.30

05/10 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 10 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 218
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 123-101
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.21

05/09 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 09 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team San Antonio
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 214.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 110-107
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

05/07 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 07 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Washington
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 215
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -111 / 1.90
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 121-102
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.30

05/05 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 05 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team San Antonio
  • Home Team Houston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 214.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 92-103
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

05/04 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 04 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Washington
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 218
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 116-89
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

05/03 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 03 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team San Antonio
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Under 215.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 121-96
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

05/02 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 02 May 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Golden State
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 207
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Score 106-94
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00
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