Track Picks

Track Picks

12/30 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 30 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 217
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    New Orleans is coming from two games against undersized teams with no size on the frontcourt and that shoot a lot from the perimeter. The Pelicans were able to score well near the basket, but they allowed way too many threes at the same time: Brooklyn shot 19-38 3pts and Dallas 22-39 3pts! Now onto tonight's game against the Knicks, the matchup will be very different, as the Knicks play with two bigs and have a great rim defense, so they will limit the Pelicans' frontcourt on offense, while the Knicks' offense doesn't shoot a lot from the perimeter. I see this game being a relatively low scoring affair then and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 103-105
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/29 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 29 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Golden State
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte +10
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -115 / 1.87
  • Write up
    The good news for Charlotte's defense is that Golden State is a team that rarely uses pick n roll ball handler plays, so the Hornets' defense won't see their main weakness exposed tonight. The Hornets are good at avoiding their opponents to shoot at the rim, even though they eventually allow their opponents to shoot a lot from the three. However, Golden State without Curry isn't shooting a lot from the perimeter and with the Hornets being good at avoiding turnovers, the Warriors' offense won't have a lot of transition opportunities neither. All these factors make me believe that Charlotte's defense will be able to handle themselves tonight.
     
    On the other hand, I expect the Hornets to grab a bunch of offensive rebounds with Howard and with the Warriors coming from two great performances against Cleveland and Utah, I expect a letdown from them today. Hence, I'm taking the Hornets tonight.
  • Score 100-111
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/29 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 29 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Indiana
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 206.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Indiana has been playing at a lower pace on their last few games, with less transition offense as well, which is problematic for a team that isn't a good perimeter shooting team, especially with Oladipo out. The Bulls' offense has been playing well and they've been taking advantage of the fact that they are mobile guys on the frontcourt. However, Indiana also has versatile big defensive players, so the Bulls' offense won't have an easy task tonight. I see this game being a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 119-107
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.16

12/28 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 28 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Houston -2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This is a bad spot for Boston, as they'll be playing their 9th game in 14 days, while being also their third game in four nights, having played last night in Charlotte. Of course Houston is shorthanded, but they had two days off to rest and I expect them to be fired up tonight after losing their last three games. Boston had some problems to counter Washington's dribble drive penetrations on the Christmas Day game, with the Wizards taking advantage of that with 60 points in the paint scored. This is an area that Harden and Gordon can definitely explore tonight. Brown would have been a tough matchup for Harden, but he is out because of injury.
     
    Houston will be without Capela, but Boston lacks a bruiser Center who can do what Adams did against them in Houston's last game: 7-9 FG, 15 points, 10 rebounds (7 offensive) and 3 blocks. I expect Houston to win tonight against Boston's tired legs and so, I'll be taking them in here.
  • Score 99-98
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.16

12/28 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 28 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Minnesota
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 212
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This is a bad spot for Minnesota, as it will be their third game in four nights, having played last night, and always travelling. This would always be a bad spot for any NBA team, but it is especially bad for the Wolves, given coach Thibs tendency to use short rotations and the fact that Minnesota's game last night against Denver went to overtime.
     
    On the other side, Milwaukee is rested and they are coming from a terrible home loss against Chicago, where they committed 20 turnovers, something very unusual for them. I expect the Bucks to come focused tonight and take advantage of Minnesota's lack of legs. I also expect Minnesota's flat spot to limit them on offense, with Milwaukee being focused on defense and rebounding. Therefore, I'll be taking both the Bucks and the Under in here.
  • Score 102-96
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/28 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 28 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Minnesota
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Milwaukee -4
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This is a bad spot for Minnesota, as it will be their third game in four nights, having played last night, and always travelling. This would always be a bad spot for any NBA team, but it is especially bad for the Wolves, given coach Thibs tendency to use short rotations and the fact that Minnesota's game last night against Denver went to overtime.
     
    On the other side, Milwaukee is rested and they are coming from a terrible home loss against Chicago, where they committed 20 turnovers, something very unusual for them. I expect the Bucks to come focused tonight and take advantage of Minnesota's lack of legs. I also expect Minnesota's flat spot to limit them on offense, with Milwaukee being focused on defense and rebounding. Therefore, I'll be taking both the Bucks and the Under in here.
  • Score 102-96
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/27 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 27 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection New York +2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    The Bulls managed to win against in Milwaukee last night due to a big edge in turnovers and rebounding. The Bulls also had a big edge near the basket against an undersized Bucks frontcourt and took advantage of that with a 15-4 edge in offensive rebounds. Chicago won't have this edge tonight against the Knicks, a team that has a top 3 interior defensive unit. If Chicago wins tonight, it's going to be via perimeter, which is an area where the team isn't consistent at all.
     
    Chicago's interior defense has been bad during this nice run and so, tonight I expect the Knicks to explore this game with Porzingis and especially Kanter, who is coming from a big game against Philadelphia. The Knicks are facing a Bulls team on a back to back spot and after a home loss against Philadelphia on Christmas Day, I expect the Knicks to show some urgency tonight to bounce back from recent poor road performances. Hence, I'll be taking the Knicks tonight.
  • Score 92-87
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.36

12/27 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 27 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 214
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    With Wall back, Washington's offense is back at being a good unit with lots of aggression on transition, attacking the paint and with good spot up shooting as well. They are coming from 16 fast break points and 60 points in the paint against a great defensive team like Boston, which is an excellent sign. They'll be now facing an Atlanta team that has been struggling to defend near the basket. Their backcourt defense has also been one of the worst in the league and so, this will be an excellent matchup for both Beal and Wall. 
     
    On the other side, Atlanta's offense has been playing well lately with 27.2 assists per game on their last nine games. They've been combining good dribble penetrations by Schroder and good three points shooting as well. After a big win at Boston, I don't expect Washington's defensive effort to be great today, so this is a good spot for a good offensive performance by Atlanta. I believe this will be a fast paced game with both teams scoring more than 50 points in the paint each and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
  • Score 113-99
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

12/27 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 27 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 206.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Charlotte's defense has been subpar and one of the weakest parts on defense has been their awful transition defense, something that Milwaukee took advantage of in the two recent games between these two teams. However, Boston will be without Brown tonight and Smart should start on his place. The Hornets will then be able to put MKG guarding Irving and with that, Charlotte's defense will have a decent matchup tonight.
     
    On the other side, Charlotte's offense is very focused on pick n roll ball handler plays, but Kemba will face an elite defensive team who will put Smart guarding Kemba the whole game. I believe this will be a game with a lot of perimeter shots, but with both teams struggling to score. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.
  • Score 91-102
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/26 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 26 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Denver
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Utah +5.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    We're catching Denver in here in an overrated position, as they're coming from two huge wins on the road. However, it's important to note that they played at Portland, who was playing without Lillard for the first time this season, while Golden State was banged up and clearly already thinking about yesterday's game against Cleveland. 
     
    With Hood back, Utah will have some edge on backcourt depth, with Bucks and Hood getting the upper hand over Barton, Beasley and Mudiay. Utah's offense could only score 79 and 89 points against Oklahoma City, but they were efficient against San Antonio. Those poor offensive numbers against the Thunder are easy to explain, as their offense relies a lot on the pick n roll with huge volume on ball handlers. The difference is that while Oklahoma City's defense is #1 against this play with 0.70 PPP allowed, the Nuggets are only #21 in the league with 0.85 PPP allowed.
     
    Denver will have some edge near the basket with Gobert out, but the Jazz are still being solid at protecting the basket even without their star defender. I expect a tight game, so Utah getting 5.5 points is too much in my opinion. My true line would be Denver -3/-3.5, so I'll be taking Utah tonight.
  • Score 107-83
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.08

12/26 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 26 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Brooklyn
  • Home Team San Antonio
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 206.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This is a very overish matchup and both offenses' strengths will be maximized in here. Brooklyn will want to run against a team that plays two bigs at the same time like San Antonio. Dinwiddie has been playing very well lately and with Parker starting for SA, the Nets will be able to explore Dinwiddie's speed and size edge. On the other hand, San Antonio will have a very favorable matchup with LMA facing two undersized PF's in Hollis-Jefferson and Acy. Brooklyn will be forced to double team a lot Aldridge, which will give a lot of space to San Antonio's shooters, including Leonard who will play tonight. With the Nets setting a fast pace, I expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 109-97
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

12/26 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 26 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Chicago
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Milwaukee -7
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    The mismatch between Milwaukee's offense and Chicago's defense will be evident in here. Not only Chicago has a poor rim defense, but also their transition defense is a disaster, two areas where Milwaukee's offense should excel tonight. The Bulls allowed 17, 25, 10, 12 and 11 fast break points and 58, 54, 54, 50 and 52 points in the paint on their last five games and they should get pounded in these two areas once again tonight.
     
    Chicago was able to upset Milwaukee on the road two weeks ago by catching the Bucks off-guard, but now on revenge mode, I expect Milwaukee to easily beat Chicago tonight. Even though the Bucks had good offensive numbers in that game, they still only shot 9-33 3pts. However, with Delly and Snell back, Milwaukee will have better shooters on the court tonight and this will allow them to pick up an easy win tonight. I'm taking Milwaukee in here.
  • Score 106-115
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.24

12/26 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 26 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Indiana
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 207
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Detroit is now playing Reggie and Kennard or Bullock together and this will give them a lot of problems to handle Indiana's two guards on pick n roll action. Van Gundy has also recently decided to put Tolliver on the lineup on the last two games, with Harris at the SF position. These changes will give Indiana's offense a nice edge on the backcourt matchup. 
     
    On the other hand, given Detroit's recent lineup changes, their offense has improved. They've gone from playing a struggling Bradley and Stanley to Bullock/Kennard and Tolliver, which will allow Detroit to keep themselves on the score against an Indiana team that should be able to score a lot tonight. I see this game being a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
  • Score 107-83
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.24

12/25 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 25 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team Oklahoma City
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Oklahoma City -1.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Oklahoma City has been improving as of late, with some adjustments on offense that allow Westbrook to have more freedom and reduced the number of shots that Carmelo gets as well. Houston is still the better team of the two, but given D'Antoni's style of overusing his key players and the fact that Paul and Mbah a Moute will be out, I believe Houston will eventually run out of gas in here, allowing the Thunder to take advantage of some matchup edges that they'll have in here. 
     
    While Houston will only have Harden and Gordon, it will be hard for Houston to play well on both ends for so many minutes. Oklahoma City is well equipped to defend Harden with George and Roberson, while with Capela banged up, Adams should be able to control the paint for the Thunder. In fact, Oklahoma City's problem this season has been when they have to slow down the pace and play half court offense. However given Houston's fast pace basketball, Oklahoma City won't have this problem and with more depth and confidence, I believe they will win this game.
  • Score 112-107
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/25 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 25 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Cleveland
  • Home Team Golden State
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 215.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This matchup is currently a lot different than it was in last year's finals with a lot of high scoring games. Cleveland's defense has improved lately and not only Curry's absence is obviously a huge blow for Golden State's offense, as the Cavaliers are now more prepared to guard Durant, with Crowder and even Green coming off the bench. Denver had a lot of success against Golden State in their last game due to their ability to double team Durant and surely Cleveland watched that and will replicate that today.
     
    On the other side, Golden State's defense has been pretty good with Green and with no Irving to focus on, the Warriors' defense will set their eyes on Lebron and they have a good number of defensive players to guard him. I see this game being a relatively low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. 
  • Score 99-92
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/23 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 23 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection New Orleans -4
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -101 / 1.99
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    NOTE: no write ups for today.

  • Score 94-109
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/23 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 23 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 105 FIRST HALF
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    NOTE: no writes up for today.

  • Score 53-54
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.24

12/22 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 22 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Dallas
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Dallas -1.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Dallas is coming from a nice win against Detroit, where once again they showed that under Dennis Smith their offense is very interesting. Smith may not be a scorer, but he is capable of creating a lot of open looks for his teammates with lots of drive and kicks. 
     
    The Mavs will now face a Heat team whose style is similar to Dallas' right now with lots of drive and kicks and with their bigs shooting a lot of treys. The difference is that Miami is super shorthanded right now and will only have Ellington and Mickey in the bench as normal rotation guys. Miami is coming from a great win against Boston, but this matchup will be very tough for them, as Miami is currently without any rim protection and Dallas will expose that time and time again tonight.
     
    In a game between two teams with similar styles, Dallas' much bigger bench depth will be the key in my opinion, as they will have an extra gear in the bench with their quick guards, something that Miami won't. Therefore, I'll be taking the Mavs tonight.
  • Score 113-101
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

12/22 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 22 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Under 210.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Charlotte's defense was completely exposed by Toronto, which is the worst possible matchup for them, as the Raptors have a strong pick n roll game that can expose Kemba's poor defense and Howard's lack of mobility. The ideal for Charlotte in order not to get their defense expose is to face a team that doesn't use a lot of pick n rolls, doesn't shoot a lot from the perimeter, but who prefers to base their offense on the inside, where Charlotte has a good interior defense. This is what Milwaukee will give them, so I expect Charlotte's defense to handle Milwaukee's offense, as Batum, Kidd-Gilchrist and Marvin are players with size to handle Middleton and Giannis.
     
    On the other hand, Charlotte's offense is based on pick n rolls led by Kemba and Milwaukee is known for being a good pick n roll defensive team, which makes them a poor matchup for the Hornets' offense. The area where the Bucks' defense struggles is on 3pts, but the Hornets have a low volumes of three attempted per game and they aren't even a good shooting team even with low volume. Given the matchups favoring both defenses, I'll be taking the Under in here. Top Play!
  • Score 109-104
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -5.30

12/21 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 21 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Chicago
  • Home Team Cleveland
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 215
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    NOTE: a bit late today, no write up for this play

  • Score 115-112
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/20 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 20 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Oklahoma City
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Oklahoma City -8
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Adams will be back in the Thunder lineup and with him back, I expect the Thunder to crush Utah, who will be missing their best defensive player (Gobert) and their best offensive player (Mitchell). This is a good spot for the Thunder who needs bounce back games from George and Melo, while the Jazz are in a poor spot tonight, as this is the final game of their road trip. The last game between these two teams was close as Mitchell had a monster game, but with him out, I expect an easy win for Oklahoma City tonight.

  • Score 107-79
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/20 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 20 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Sacramento
  • Home Team Brooklyn
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection FIRST HALF Over 104
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Brooklyn had two days off to prepare this game and they'll face a Kings team in a bad spot, as they will be playing their third game in four nights, including a game in Philadelphia last night. The Nets' offense should have a clear edge on spot ups and pick n rolls against a poor Kings defense in those areas, while Brooklyn should also be very effective on transitions, as Sacramento is a fairly slow team, especially when they have their starting lineup on the court. The Kings' offense will have some edge with Randolph, but they can't rely on a veteran to carry their offense in such a spot. I expect an easy win for Brooklyn and so, I'll be taking them in here. 
     
    Even though Sacramento's game last night ended with 196 points and going under the total posted, the pace was fast and this shows us that Sacramento can run against a run and gun team like Philadelphia or Brooklyn. With Fox out, Sacramento "gets rid" of one of the least effective players on offense and Brooklyn will run a lot in the first half to tire the Kings out and so, I'll be taking the Over in the first half tonight.
  • Score 48-64
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

12/20 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 20 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Sacramento
  • Home Team Brooklyn
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Brooklyn -5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Brooklyn had two days off to prepare this game and they'll face a Kings team in a bad spot, as they will be playing their third game in four nights, including a game in Philadelphia last night. The Nets' offense should have a clear edge on spot ups and pick n rolls against a poor Kings defense in those areas, while Brooklyn should also be very effective on transitions, as Sacramento is a fairly slow team, especially when they have their starting lineup on the court. The Kings' offense will have some edge with Randolph, but they can't rely on a veteran to carry their offense in such a spot. I expect an easy win for Brooklyn and so, I'll be taking them in here. 
     
    Even though Sacramento's game last night ended with 196 points and going under the total posted, the pace was fast and this shows us that Sacramento can run against a run and gun team like Philadelphia or Brooklyn. With Fox out, Sacramento "gets rid" of one of the least effective players on offense and Brooklyn will run a lot in the first half to tire the Kings out and so, I'll be taking the Over in the first half tonight.
  • Score 99-104
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

12/20 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 20 December 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Orlando
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Over 211
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Chicago has been playing well on their winning streak, with a red hot Mirotic. However, they have some red flags on defense, especially thanks to the fact that they are using a lot of small lineups, with Mirotic and Portis sharing the frontcourt. Thanks to this, the Bulls have allowed 50, 56, 38, 56, 58 and 54 points in the paint on their last six games. The Magic might be shorthanded, but this new lineup with three guards, Simmons at PF and Vucevic worked very well on the last game, as they just attacked the paint time and time again. This should repeat this tonight and this will give them a big edge over Chicago's poor interior defense.
     
    On the other hand, as Orlando will use such a small lineup, their defense has become poor. However, Chicago should demonstrate some excess of confidence in this game, as they are in a winning streak and this is the first time that they'll be favored in a game. I see Orlando being very competitive in a high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking both the Magic and the Over in here. The Over is a Top Play!
  • Score 112-94
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -5.25
Page 6 of 68

My Tweets

Loading..