Track Picks

Track Picks

12/13 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 13 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Clippers
  • Home Team Milwaukee Bucks
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Milwaukee +6
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    After a couple of poor defensive performance, it wasn't a surprise to see Milwaukee putting a lot of effort on defense on their Thursday's practice: 
     
    "Just finishing plays" Jason Kidd said of what the focus of Thursday's practice was. "Not just the (defensive) principles, but finishing plays. Rebounding the ball has been something we've struggled to do. Also, transition defense and being able to get back. Those are the things we worked on today."
     
    Now looking at the matchup between the Clippers' offense and the Bucks' defense, there are a few things that actually favor Milwaukee. First of all, the Clippers' offensive rebounding is almost non-existent, something good for Milwaukee whose defensive rebounding is normally very poor. Without Hawes, the Clippers' frontcourt in the second unit will be formed by Udoh, Wilcox and Davis, removing most of the flow that the Clippers' offense normally has on the field.
     
    On the other side, Milwaukee's offense is turnover prone by rule, but the Clippers' defense isn't aggressive and so, they won't explore that. Milwaukee loves to attack the rim in dribble penetration and this is why they scored 68 points in the paint against Dallas, but then they struggled against Oklahoma City's good interior defense with just 34 points in the paint and 12-26 FG at the rim. However, the Clippers' rim defense is very weak and so, the Bucks' offense should explore that well tonight. I see this game being very close and so, I'll take the Bucks in here.
  • Score 111-106
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/13 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 13 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Atlanta Hawks
  • Home Team Orlando Magic
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Atlanta -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    These two teams faced each other last night and it's incredible how Orlando scored just 26 points in the paint and Atlanta 24! It wasn't even the case that the teams had low FG%, they simply had a low volume of shots near the basket, a sing of lack of aggression. With Vucevic returning tonight, things should change for the Magic and this should result in an offensive improvement for them tonight. With Orlando playing nearer the basket, they should be able to be a lot more effective on their offense tonight.
     
    The problem for Orlando is that O'Quinn is a better defender than Vucevic, so with the Montenegrin back, Orlando's interior defense will struggle. Atlanta's offense should definitely play better tonight than last night, as it's very unlikely that Teague (5-13 FG) and Korver (2-5 FG) will have such poor performance again in here. On the other hand, Fournier (8-14 FG) and Oladipo (8-12 FG) will struggle to repeat such good performances in here. Besides this, Atlanta will have a clear bench edge tonight on a back to back spot, this is very important. Therefore, I'll take Atlanta in here. 
  • Score 100-99
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.15

12/13 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 13 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Detroit Pistons
  • Home Team Sacramento Kings
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Detroit +5.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -113 / 1.88
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Detroit finally won a game last night at Phoenix and so, they have regained some of their confidence back. Their win was the result of a team effort, with only Josh Smith playing over 30 minutes last night. Therefore, their back to back spot isn't that bad for tonight's game at Sacramento.
     
    The Pistons will have a favorable matchup tonight against a Kings team that has been struggling without Cousins. Sacramento's awful interior defense will be explored by Detroit's frontcourt, who did the exact same thing yesterday at Phoenix. Detroit's defense is far from being an elite unit, but as Sacramento's has no perimeter shooting skills, the Pistons should be okay on defense tonight. I expect a tight game in here and so, I'll take Detroit.
  • Score 90-95
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/12 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Team Brooklyn Nets
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Philadelphia +7
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    It's very rare that Philadelphia has a big edge on a match up, but this is exactly what happens in here. The Sixers will have a huge athleticism edge over the very slow and shorthanded Nets tonight. This should be demonstrated especially on quick transitions, where Philadelphia should easily score fast break points against a slow Nets team. 
     
    The Sixers' offense also should have an interesting edge on rebounding and they should also be able to attack the rim with some ease, as Brooklyn's frontcourt is shorthanded for tonight and they haven't been good at protecting the rim all season long. On the other side, Brooklyn's offense these days is just a collection of poor jump shooters, which show allow the non-terrible Philadelphia defense from doing a nice job tonight. I think this game will be closer than expected and so, I'll take the Sixers in here.
  • Score 88-70
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.27

12/12 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Indiana Pacers
  • Home Team Toronto Raptors
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 197.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Toronto is coming from a tough loss at Cleveland. They managed to attack very well the Cavs' poor interior defense with 54 points in the paint, while shooting a great 27-42 (64%) FG near the basket! Defensively, the Raptors' kept struggling but of course that was also due Cleveland's great offensive talent. On the other hand, Indiana is coming from a home loss against the Clippers, where their starters struggled big time and it was their second unit that turned the game into a relatively close one. The fact that Hibbert was in foul trouble the whole game and could only play 12 minutes didn't help the Pacers at all.
     
    In tonight's game, I don't think Toronto's offense will have an edge down low against Indiana's good rim defense, which won't allow Toronto's offense to be as effective as they normally are. On the other side, with West struggling on offense, Indiana's offense is very inconsistent and I don't think they will be able to explore Toronto's defensive struggled in here at all. Therefore, I expect this game to be a relatively low scoring game and so, I'll take the Under in here.
  • Score 106-94 (200)
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.30

12/12 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Clippers
  • Home Team Washington Wizards
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 204.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This should be a three-point contest, given that Washington leads the league in 3pts% with 38.3%, while the LA Clippers are #2 with 38.1%! The Wizards are coming from a close win against Orlando, where their defense really struggled on pick and rolls, allowing Oladipo to have a big game. The truth is that it wasn't the first time Washington struggled on pick and roll defense, therefore the Clippers' offense should have a big game on running pick and rolls time and time again tonight. If we add to that, the Clippers' great perimeter shooting and how well Blake has been playing lately, the LA team should have a big offensive game in here.
     
    On the other hand, and as I mentioned, Washington's perimeter shooting has been great and they should certainly have another good performance tonight against a Clippers' perimeter defense that isn't impressive. The Wizards should also be able to expose the below average Clippers' transition defense via their quickness on the backcourt. Therefore, given the edges that these two teams will have on offense in here, I believe we are heading into an absolute shootout and so, I'll take the Over in here.
  • Score 104-96 (200)
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.30

12/11 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 11 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston Rockets
  • Home Team Sacramento Kings
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Sacramento PK
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This is a terrible spot for Houston. They are coming from a late game at Golden State last night and while being shorthanded, they will now play a back to back game at Sacramento. If that spot itself was tough, it gets tougher when Beverley isn't still not at 100% physically and Harden is struggling with back spasms. Howard, Jones, Canaan and Papanikolaou are still out, so this is really a troubling situation for Houston, especially because their starters had to play heavy minutes last night: Harden and Beverley 40 minutes, Ariza 43 minutes and Motiejunas 35 minutes!
     
    As we all know, Houston's offense need to shot their treys badly to be efficient without Howard. Therefore, they are attempting a huge number of three pointers every night. In fact, they attempted 35 treys against the Warriors yesterday. The problem is that Sacramento's defense has been great on the perimeter by being #5 in the league with just 31.3% 3pts allowed. Therefore, the Rockets' offense should struggle tonight.
     
    On the other hand, Sacramento's offense will attack the paint tonight all game long. They should be successful with that, given that Houston lacks a good interior defender without Howard on the court. The Kings barely attempt treys and they base all their offense in driving into the basket to score at the rim and get free throw attempts. Therefore, I think Sacramento has the right spot and match up edges to pick up the win tonight.
  • Score 109-113
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.24

12/10 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 10 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Team Atlanta Hawks
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Philadelphia +13
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    In order for Philadelphia to be remotely competitive in any match up, they need some edges. The Sixers normally need edges on transition and paint to be competitive on their games, and while Atlanta's transition defense is decent, the Hawks's frontcourt defense isn't nothing special and while they aren't horrible, they are also far from being an elite unit.
     
    However, the big edge that the Sixers should have in here is on rebounding. This is a good spot for them and on a rested spot, they should be able to outrebounded clearly an Atlanta team that is coming from a tough stretch of games, where they have been winning but also getting outrebounded big time in almost all of them. Due to their recent results, I expect Atlanta to relax at home tonight against a lowly opponent and Philadelphia with a decent match up should make this game relatively close. Therefore, I'll be taking the Sixers in here.
  • Score 95-79
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.18

12/10 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 10 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston Celtics
  • Home Team Charlotte Hornets
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    I believe Charlotte has an excellent chance to pick up a nice win tonight. They had 4 days to rest and prepare this game, something they badly needed. On the other hand, Boston will play their third game in four nights, coming from a double overtime loss at Washington DC. The great news for Charlotte tonight is that Kidd-Gilchrist will be back and he is someone that will help the Hornets in being better in both ends of the floor.
     
    However, the big edge that Charlotte's offense will have in here will be with Al Jefferson, whose post up plays will be deadly tonight against a poor Celtics post up defense that lack a good interior defender to stop him. On the other side, Charlotte's defense is poor on the perimeter, but they will have a favorable match up tonight as Boston's perimeter shooting is nothing special. With a spot edge and favorable match ups on both offense and defense, I expect Charlotte to pick up a comfortable home win tonight.
  • Score 96-87
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/10 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 10 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Brooklyn Nets
  • Home Team Chicago Bulls
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 194
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -112 / 1.89
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Chicago is coming from a home loss against Golden State, but they had three days off to prepare tonight's game. It's curious that all the Bulls' latest losses have been due to some poor defense, especially in the perimeter. They allowed Denver to shoot 8-16 3pts, Dallas 15-30 3pts and Golden State 12-30 3pts! Fortunately for the Bulls, Brooklyn's offense doesn't have a great flow and they are horrible on perimeter shooting, as their latest game against Cleveland (4-19 3pts) showed. With the Bulls rested and with the desire of a defensive bounce back, I believe the Nets' offense will struggle in here.
     
    With Lopez out and Teletovic questionable, it's possible that Brooklyn will be using Plumlee and Garnett as their starting frontcourt tonight. This of course represents better interior defense for the Nets, but also some really poor offense, given that Plumlee isn't offensively gifted, while Garnett is now a shadow of the player he once was on offense. In a game between two teams whose offenses have been far from brilliant, I believe the defensive-focused Bulls will put a big stop on Brooklyn's poor offense tonight, while the Bulls' offense won't have a big game in here neither, as Noah's absence is a big loss for their offense, as he is an excellent passer who is the main responsible for Chicago's good ball movement. Therefore, I see this game being a low scoring one and so, I'll take the Under in here.
  • Score 105-80 (185)
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/09 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 09 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York Knicks
  • Home Team New Orleans Pelicans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection NY Knicks +6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This is actually a quite interesting match up for the Knicks. New Orleans's interior defense has been decent as expected with Asik and Davis, but their perimeter defense has been very poor. The Knicks are a jump shooting team which doesn't attack the rim at all, which means that they are a very tough match up for the Pelicans' defense.
     
    On the other hand, the Knicks have curiously been fairly decent on interior defense so far in the season. This is bad news for the Pelicans' offense which has a very high volume of shots near the basket, with very few players capable of making outside shots. The NY team has been more competitive lately, with close losses against Cleveland and Portland. This is a good sign for them and I believe that they will be once again fairly competitive tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Knicks in here.
  • Score 104-93
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.15

12/09 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 09 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Dallas Mavericks
  • Home Team Memphis Grizzlies
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Dallas +2.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Dallas's defense is one of the few defenses in the league that should be able to handle Memphis's offense quite. The reason for that is that Dallas's poor perimeter defense isn't explored by Memphis's inefficient perimeter shooting, while Gasol has in Chandler one of the fewest players in the league who can guard him one on one. Most teams need to double team Gasol to defend him and this means that Gasol is then able to use his great passing skills to find the open man. As Chandler can guard Gasol on his own, Memphis's offense loses its biggest edge. 
     
    On the other hand, Memphis's rebounding has been also poor this season and therefore, they won't be able to explore Dallas's subpar rebounding skills as well. The Mavericks should be able to create some decent offense in here via pick & rolls and some perimeter shooting as well, even though the Grizzlies' defense won't allow Dallas to have an all-out offensive performance like they have been having in some games this season. I see this game being a close one, with Dallas having some key edges tonight that make me think that they have a lot of value as small underdogs tonight. I also believe this game will be a relatively low scoring one and so, I'll take the Under in here as well.
  • Score 114-105
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.24

12/09 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 09 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Dallas Mavericks
  • Home Team Memphis Grizzlies
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 203.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Dallas's defense is one of the few defenses in the league that should be able to handle Memphis's offense quite. The reason for that is that Dallas's poor perimeter defense isn't explored by Memphis's inefficient perimeter shooting, while Gasol has in Chandler one of the fewest players in the league who can guard him one on one. Most teams need to double team Gasol to defend him and this means that Gasol is then able to use his great passing skills to find the open man. As Chandler can guard Gasol on his own, Memphis's offense loses its biggest edge. 
     
    On the other hand, Memphis's rebounding has been also poor this season and therefore, they won't be able to explore Dallas's subpar rebounding skills as well. The Mavericks should be able to create some decent offense in here via pick & rolls and some perimeter shooting as well, even though the Grizzlies' defense won't allow Dallas to have an all-out offensive performance like they have been having in some games this season. I see this game being a close one, with Dallas having some key edges tonight that make me think that they have a lot of value as small underdogs tonight. I also believe this game will be a relatively low scoring one and so, I'll take the Under in here as well.
  • Score 114-105 (219)
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.15

12/09 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 09 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee Bucks
  • Home Team Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 200.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Milwaukee is right now very far from the team they were early in the season, with poor offense, but with an elite defense. They are actually being the opposite of that lately, with their defense struggling big time, as Giannis and Parker commit a lot of mistakes on defense, while Sanders hasn't been the same on defense since he returned from injury. With that, Milwaukee has allowed 107 or more points in three of their last four games.
     
    On the other side, Oklahoma City is returning to their home and this will be Durant's first home game of the season. The Thunder are slowly but surely improving on offense, with a clear improvement on fast breaks with 17, 20, 16 and 15 fast break points scored on their last four games. I expect a super fast paced game in here, with Oklahoma City punishing Milwaukee's poor defense, while the Bucks' offense should also score a decent amount of points in here due to their athleticism that allows them to play good offense in fast paced games. Therefore, I expect a high scoring game in here and so, I'll take the Over tonight.
  • Score 114-101 (215)
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/09 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 09 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland Trail Blazers
  • Home Team Detroit Pistons
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 197
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Detroit actually played a rather decent game last Sunday against Oklahoma City, where they actually attempted a three-pointer at the buzzer for the win. Their offense actually showed up, with 25 assists for just 12 turnovers, while also scoring 42 points in the paint and shooting a decent FG% at the rim. Given that Portland's post up defense is subpar, I believe Detroit should be able to score well near the basket tonight, as Portland's rim defense is clearly regressing right now with 66.7% FG allowed at the rim on their last five games.
     
    On the other hand, Portland's offense will have a huge mismatch on their most important positions: PG position (Lillard) and PF position (Aldridge). There is no doubt that Lillard will expose Jennings's poor defense tonight, with the same happening between Aldridge and Detroit's PF's. Detroit's 3pts defense is also quite inconsistent and Portland is the right team to expose that as well. I see this game going over the 200 points mark tonight and so, I'll take the Over in here.
  • Score 86-98 (184)
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.09

12/08 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 08 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Phoenix Suns
  • Home Team Los Angeles Clippers
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 214.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    The Clippers are absolutely rolling on this home span for them, with blowout wins after blowout wins. The Pelicans were their latest victims, with the Clippers' offense once again being amazing both near the basket and on their perimeter shooting. The LA team will now face a Suns team, whose defense is very poor both near the rim and on the perimeter and so, this should be another game where the Clippers' offense has another absurdly good performance.
     
    The main difference of this game in comparison with the Clippers' previous games is that Phoenix's offense is a lot better than Minnesota's, Utah's, Orlando's and New Orleans's offenses. The Suns have a great perimeter shooting game and a great transition game as well and they will certainly find a very relaxed Clippers' defense that has been allowing a lot of easy shots lately due to their ability to outscore their opponents anyway. These two teams faced each other at LA about three weeks ago and even though the Suns shot just 38% FG in that game, that contest still ended with 227 points scored. I believe we are going to watch another super high scoring contest between these two teams and so, I'll take the Over in here.
  • Score 121-120 (241)
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/08 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 08 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah Jazz
  • Home Team Sacramento Kings
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Utah +5.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Utah's main problem this season has been their catastrophic perimeter defense. However, they will finally play a game where that won't be explored, as Sacramento's perimeter shooting is so bad that they barely attempt any treys on their games. The Jazz's interior defense is "only" bad and they'll also have a favorable match up in here, given that Cousins is still out and that's a huge blow for Sacramento's offense.
     
    Thanks to these two factors, I believe this game will be a close one. The Jazz's offense is a bit streaky on their perimeter shooting, while their inside game will have some edge tonight with Kanter, Favors and Booker taking advantage of Cousins's absence. Sacramento has allowed their opponent to shoot 77% FG, 89% FG, 68% FG, 69% FG and 73% FG at the rim against them on their last five games and so, Utah should be able to pound Sacramento's poor interior defense in here as well. I believe Utah has a good match up to make this game very close and so, I'll take them in here.
  • Score 92-101
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.18

12/08 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 08 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Golden State Warriors
  • Home Team Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Golden State -14.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This game should be an absolute bloodbath like Minnesota's last game was at San Antonio. The Wolves face a Spurs team without Parker, Ginobili and Splitter, but they got absolutely crushed anyway. Minnesota has now allowed 121 and 123 points to San Antonio this season, 127 points to the LA Clippers and 131 points to Dallas. Now against the Warriors, things should be as bad as they were for the Wolves in these previous games against elite offenses.
     
    In order to make this game even remotely close, given Golden State's huge edges on offense against Minnesota's defense, the Wolves' offense would need to be able to score in transition and in the paint as well. The big problem is that Golden State's defense is an elite unit in these two areas and they won't allow Minnesota's offense to score easy baskets at all tonight. Besides this, Golden State's bench is also clearly better than Minnesota's starting lineup, so even in case Golden State gets a huge lead early in the game, I don't see Minnesota coming back at the end for a backdoor cover. Therefore, I'll be taking the Warriors tonight.
  • Score 86-102
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/08 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 08 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Home Team Brooklyn Nets
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 196
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line 110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    The main reason why I believe this game will be a high scoring one has to do with the absence of both Brook Lopez and Joe Johnson tonight. These two players are ball hoggers, who really make the whole decision process of the Nets' offense too slow and also quite predictable. With them, Brooklyn's offense will surprise in here, with Deron being the main focus of the team's offense, which is a good idea as Cleveland's defense with Irving guarding Deron will struggle. Deron will certainly penetrate a lot into the basket and this is exactly where the Cavs' defense is struggling big time this season: stop the opposing dribble penetrations. 
     
    On the other hand, Cleveland's offense will have plenty of edges in here against a slow Brooklyn defense, especially on quick transitions and also in the mismatches that Lebron and Irving will have in here on offense. Therefore, I expect this game to be a high scoring game and so, I'll take the Over in here.

     

  • Score 88-110 (198)
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/07 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 07 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans Pelicans
  • Home Team Los Angeles Lakers
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 208.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -111 / 1.90
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    I believe this game will be a relatively low scoring game, as the Lakers will be very focused in improving defensively today. In fact, there will be two changes in the Lakers' lineup today, in order to improve the team's defense, with Boozer and Lin being replaced by Davis and Price.
     
    “Both of those guys play extremely hard” LA Lakers' coach Byron Scott said of Price and Davis. “Both of those guys have more of a defensive mentality. It’s probably a better match with the starters that we have.”
     
    “The biggest thing I need from them is defense” Byron Scott said about Lin and Boozer. “For Jeremy, it’s understanding what a point guard is. He still has to learn that. But again I’m not looking at this as a situation where it’s a demotion. We have to do something. The starting team hasn’t played really well at this particular point.”
     
    The Lakers will now face the Pelicans, who will be playing their third game in four nights, having played against the Clippers last night. New Orleans' offense hasn't been brilliant, if we exclude Davis of course, and this defensively improved lineup of the Lakers should be able to limit the damage of the Pelicans' offense, with Ed Davis guarding Anthony Davis. New Orleans' perimeter shooting has been poor, if we exclude Anderson's treys as well, so on this poor spot for them, I believe the Pelicans' offense won't be brilliant.
     
    Therefore, I expect this game to be a relatively low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
  • Score 87-104 (191)
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/07 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 07 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami Heat
  • Home Team Memphis Grizzlies
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 191
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    I believe this game will be a high scoring contest, given that both teams will have some interesting edges on offense today. Memphis's frontcourt should be able to pound Miami down low time and time again on this matchup. They have a clear size edge, which will give them a good rebounding edge and a great ability to score near the basket today.
     
    On the other hand, Miami's backcourt has been shooting rather well from the perimeter, something that should also allow the Heat to score a decent amount of points in here. Besides that, given Memphis's clear size edge, Miami won't want to play this game at a slow pace and so, I expect them to push up the pace in here and turn this game into an offense-oriented match up, with both teams playing at a reasonable fast pace, while exploring their edges on offense. Therefore, given the current totals line, I'll be taking the Over in here.
  • Score 103-87 (190)
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.21

12/07 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 07 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Home Team Detroit Pistons
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Oklahoma City -10
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Write up
    Detroit is a complete mess right now. They even got humiliated at home against Philadelphia on a back to back spot last night. Even when the Pistons' frontcourt has a clear edge in a match up, they just can't be efficient. Detroit will now face Oklahoma City, who will have Durant playing his third game of the season. The Thunder had already some time to adjust to having both Durant and Westbrook back, therefore I expect them to play at a good level today, on a revenge game for them, as they lost at home against the Pistons a few weeks ago.
     
    I actually took the Pistons on their game at Oklahoma City, who was still without Durant and Westbrook at the time. I said that the Pistons had a clear size edge in that match up and the Pistons grabbed 56% of the rebounds in that game, while outscoring the Thunder 44-40 at the paint. The difference is that Oklahoma City with Durant and Westbrook back will absolutely destroy the Pistons' poor defense in here. Jennings also played his best game of the season at Oklahoma City, but he's on a huge slump right now. I believe this is going to be a clear blowout win for Oklahoma City and so, I'll be taking them in here.
  • Score 94-96
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -3.15

12/07 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 07 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Denver Nuggets
  • Home Team Atlanta Hawks
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 212
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    I believe this game will be a surprisingly low scoring game. Atlanta's defense will be a quite tough match up for Denver today. The Hawks' defense is good on pick and roll and transition defense, which means that they can limit Denver's offense very well. Lawson will definitely have a tough defender in Teague and also his backup Schroder. Atlanta's worst defensive performances of the season have come against good perimeter shooting teams, but that's definitely not the case of Denver.
     
    The Nuggets will try to bounce back defensively after getting crushed against Washington last Friday. With Robinson and Faried out today, the Nuggets should be able to play better defense, as Harris is a better defender than the undersized Robinson, while Faried is being the team's worst defender this season. Therefore, I believe this game will be a relatively low scoring affair and so, I'll take the Under in here.
  • Score 96-84 (180)
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00

12/06 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 06 December 2014
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans Pelicans
  • Home Team Los Angeles Clippers
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 205.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    New Orleans will have a better spot tonight to score near the basket than the one they had last Thursday, when they faced Golden State. The Pelicans struggled to shot near the basket in that game, however the Warriors have pretty much the best interior defense in the league right now, while the Clippers' interior defense isn't very impressive and I believe the Pelicans and especially Davis will be able to take advantage of that in here.
     
    On the other hand, the Clippers' offense has been amazing as of late and they have been crushing all their opponents time after time on these stretch of home games. The LA team is especially good on perimeter shooting and on pick and rolls, two areas where the Pelicans' defense struggle the most. Therefore, this should be another game where the Clippers' offense has another huge performance. All points out to a very high scoring game in here and so, I'll take the Over tonight.
  • Score 120-100 (220)
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +3.00
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