Track Picks

Track Picks

02/09 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 09 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Indiana
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Indiana +4.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Due to the cancellation of Indiana's game at New Orleans last Wednesday, the Pacers will have a nice physical spot edge over Boston, who is on a back to back spot, having played at Washington last night, on a 8PM EST national tv game that went to overtime as well.
     
    Boston's offense is currently in a confusing period, with 17 turnovers committed in each of their last two games. Irving is a bit limited physically, Morris is having the same issue, while Monroe who has just joined the team is having minutes. Boston is also lacking a good dynamic on their perimeter shooting, something great for Indiana's defense, who normally struggles on this area. Defensively, both Toronto and Washington managed to create plenty of transition points against Boston with 20 and 16 fast break points scored and this is one of the strongest areas of Indiana's offense. I believe the Pacers are a tough matchup for Boston and while Boston won the first two games between these two games this season, Indiana's best player Oladipo was out in the first game and on the second game, the Celtics won with an incredible play on the last second, which saved them from a loss as well. I believe this will be a very close battle and so, I'll be taking Indiana tonight.
  • Score 91-97
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/08 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 08 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Portland
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte +3.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Charlotte was one of the teams that could have been sellers on today's trade deadline, but the truth is that the team kept their core and today with Marvin back and with Zeller giving Howard solid backup minutes, we'll have Charlotte at their best, something that has been rare this season. The Hornets' advanced numbers are pretty solid and besides their FG% allowed, they are having big edges on rebounding, turnovers and free throws, which means that they don't beat themselves. On their last game, they lost at Denver due to the combination of a bad matchup and poor spot. Denver with Jokic was a bad matchup for Howard and the Hornets, as they forced Howard out of his comfort zone, which opened space at the paint for the Nuggets' guards, which at the same time, Howard showed that he struggles to guard on the outside, which allowed Denver to have a great offensive combo of shots made at the rim and from the three points line.

    The Hornets will now play at Portland, where with Batum's improved play, I believe Charlotte's backcourt will be able to go toe to toe with Portland's backcourt, while they will have more options to support their backcourt. Portland is struggling on rebounding as of late and they've been outrebounded on their last four games. We have exactly the opposite with the Hornets, who have been dominating the boards battles lately. I believe this will be a close battle and so, I'll be taking the Hornets plus the points tonight.

  • Score 109-103
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

02/08 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 08 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -13.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Toronto ends their homespan and after having crushed the Celtics, they'll now face the lowly Knicks without Porzingis and so, there's always a risk for a relax spot. Normally that happens with the best teams when the bench has major minutes and allow the lowly teams to keep the game close. The problem for the Knicks is that the Raptors bench is probably better than the Knicks starters and in fact, they're coming from crushing the Celtics in the second quarter of that game. Before that, in the game against Memphis, the starters had all negative double digits on +/- and the bench made it possible for the team to win that game by 15 points.
     
    It will be hard for the Knicks to have any lineup that outscores Toronto tonight especially when their possible rotation has Jack, Lee, Hardaway, Beasley and O'Quinn starting and then Ntilikina/Burke, Dotson, Thomas, Kornet and Hicks coming off the bench. The Knicks beat Toronto in one of the most incredible games of the season with a 41-10 3Q score but now I expect the Raptors to get revenge and beat them with a blowout. I'm taking Toronto tonight.
  • Score 113-88
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/08 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 08 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Atlanta
  • Home Team Orlando
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Atlanta -1.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Orlando traded Payton to Phoenix and so, they'll only have Augustin and Mack at the PG position for the rest of the season. The Magic are coming from two great wins against Miami and Cleveland, but even though they are a lowly team, the Hawks are a bad matchup for Orlando. The Magic really needs to score in transition and in the paint and in fact, they scored 70 points in the paint against Cleveland in their last game. However, Atlanta's defense is very good in these two areas and this was why I took them against Memphis in their last game, where the Grizzlies could only score 32 points in the paint and 8 fast break points. Atlanta basically didn't have any important trade, they are healthy and with defined rotations, so I expect them to beat Orlando tonight, who will be missing some players.

     

  • Score 100-98
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.24

02/08 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 08 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Washington
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 206
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Washington's offense has been playing well without Wall, but they have some warning signs as well, with 56-165 (33%) 3pts for example. The Wizards have been showing some incredible mid range shooting, with a high FG% and also high volume. This will be hard to replicate against Boston's defense, an elite unit which has size at the perimeter and which will put Porter and Beal in trouble. On the other hand, Washington's defense with Gortat struggling had a lot of issues against Embiid in their last game at Philadelphia, but as Boston lacks an overpowering frontcourt, the Wizards will be able to focus its defense on the perimeter. I believe this totals line is then too high and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 104-110
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

02/07 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 07 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Houston -5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Over the last 14 games, only four Heat players have a positive net rating and Olynyk is #1 in the team by far with 110.1 on offense and 102.0 on defense. He'll be out tonight and so, this will be a huge blow for the team, as Miami's frontcourt loses perimeter shooting ability without him. To make things worse for the Heat offense, one of their best shooters Ellington is also doubtful for tonight. Hence, I believe Miami's offense will struggle against their two best shooters against a Houston team that with Capela, Nene, Mbah a Moute and Tucker have enough defense around Paul and Harden. 
     
    With Golden State struggling, Houston has a chance to get homecourt edge and these are the type of games the Rockets need to take seriously in order to have a chance at the #1 seed in the West. They've won the last give games with some great offense led by Paul and Harden, and now with Gordon possibly out for tonight, I believe Paul and Harden will get ready to have some extra effort tonight in order to secure a comfortable win for the Rockets tonight. As Miami will struggle on offense without their best shooters, while their defense will continue to be solid, I expect this game to be a relatively low scoring affair. So, I'll be taking both Houston and the Under in here.
  • Score 101-109
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/07 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 07 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 209.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Over the last 14 games, only four Heat players have a positive net rating and Olynyk is #1 in the team by far with 110.1 on offense and 102.0 on defense. He'll be out tonight and so, this will be a huge blow for the team, as Miami's frontcourt loses perimeter shooting ability without him. To make things worse for the Heat offense, one of their best shooters Ellington is also doubtful for tonight. Hence, I believe Miami's offense will struggle against their two best shooters against a Houston team that with Capela, Nene, Mbah a Moute and Tucker have enough defense around Paul and Harden. 
     
    With Golden State struggling, Houston has a chance to get homecourt edge and these are the type of games the Rockets need to take seriously in order to have a chance at the #1 seed in the West. They've won the last give games with some great offense led by Paul and Harden, and now with Gordon possibly out for tonight, I believe Paul and Harden will get ready to have some extra effort tonight in order to secure a comfortable win for the Rockets tonight. As Miami will struggle on offense without their best shooters, while their defense will continue to be solid, I expect this game to be a relatively low scoring affair. So, I'll be taking both Houston and the Under in here.
  • Score 101-109
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

02/07 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 07 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Brooklyn
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 209.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    With Quincy Acy out again, Brooklyn has no PF available in the roster and so, they'll have to repeat yesterday's lineup that they used against Houston with Carroll starting. These are excellent news for Detroit, who has Blake Griffin in the PF position. Detroit has been showing great offensive flow with Griffin, as they are just crushing their opponents in the paint, with an average of 50 points in the paint in their last three games and all against decent interior defensive teams in Memphis, Miami and Portland. Tonight they'll have a huge edge against an undersized Nets team and so, I believe they'll have a great offensive game tonight. On the other side, Brooklyn will reply with a spread offense, with one center and four shooters, something that Detroit's defense will struggle to face, as they play with Drummond and Blake in the frontcourt. Detroit is playing faster with Blake and with Brooklyn also wanting to play fast tonight, I expect this game to become a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 115-106
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/07 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 07 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Memphis
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Utah -6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    I took Atlanta last night in order to face Memphis and their inability to score against a good interior defensive team like the Hawks. This was what I said yesterday about Memphis:

    "Memphis will be playing without Tyreke Evans and the team's offense depends on what he can produce near the basket. The Grizzlies were coming from four games in a row where they had scored over 100 points, including 50, 52, 42 and 50 points in the paint, but in their last game, they faced a Raptors team, a team that has one of the best interior defenses in the league, which only allowed Memphis to score 36 points in the paint. The Hawks' defense is struggling on the perimeter, but since Dedmon and Muscala returned from injury, they have been very good at protecting the rim. Hence, I expect Memphis to struggle offensively tonight."

    Well, now against a Jazz team with Gobert back at playing at a very high level, it seems obvious that the Grizzlies will struggle offensively again against an elite interior defense team. On the other hand, Utah is on a roll offensively with great tempo, a drive and kick approach and while getting quality shots all over the floor. Rubio is playing at an amazing level, so is Hood and Mitchell is also back at 100% after being ill. Memphis is really struggling at defending the pick n roll ball handler plays with inexperienced guards having big minutes and Atlanta took advantage of that last night, with Schroder having an efficient game with 9-15 FG and 5/0 A/TO ratio. Utah is averaging 128.5 in offensive rating over the last four games and with great inside/out numbers, they'll have a clear edge on offense tonight, which should give them an easy win tonight. I'm taking Utah tonight.

  • Score 88-92
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

02/06 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 06 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Philadelphia
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 212.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    Washington has won the last five games without Wall, always showing good offensive basketball. Yesterday I took them against Indiana and they showed no mercy to the Pacers, with 111 points scored and 7-25 3pts. I believe their offensive momentum will continue tonight at Philadelphia. The Sixers  have been struggling lately due to a heavy schedule, but they had two days off to prepare this game and Philadelphia normally plays on a faster tempo on this kind of spot, with an average pace of 100.8 on games with +2 days of rest and an offensive rating of 110, in comparison with a pace of 98.6 and 107.8 offensive rating with 1 day of rest or less. The Sixers are very aggressive in attacking the paint and this is one of the weakest parts of Washington's defense, so I believe this will be a very high scoring contest and hence, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 115-102
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/06 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 06 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Memphis
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Atlanta -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Memphis will be playing without Tyreke Evans and the team's offense depends on what he can produce near the basket. The Grizzlies were coming from four games in a row where they had scored over 100 points, including 50, 52, 42 and 50 points in the paint, but in their last game, they faced a Raptors team, a team that has one of the best interior defenses in the league, which only allowed Memphis to score 36 points in the paint. The Hawks' defense is struggling on the perimeter, but since Dedmon and Muscala returned from injury, they have been very good at protecting the rim. Hence, I expect Memphis to struggle offensively tonight.

    On the other side, Memphis' defense has been awful on defending the pick n roll ball handler plays, with plenty of young players getting important minutes. This is a situation that Atlanta's offense will explore with Schroder and Bazemore, so I'll be taking Atlanta tonight.

  • Score 108-82
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/06 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 06 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team Brooklyn
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 217.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Houston will have Eric Gordon returning and so, their offense will get even better with a secondary ball handler coming off the bench. Houston's offense has been playing very well and they will take advantage of a good matchup against Brooklyn, who has been playing without Hollis-Jefferson and they've been using smaller lineups with Okafor as the main backup center. Brooklyn's offense has been inconsistent due to their shooting, but now they have ball handlers coming off the bench with LeVert healthy and Russell back. I expect a fast paced game and I believe this will be a relax spot for Houston, who after big games against San Antonio and Cleveland will show less defensive intensity tonight. Acy will be also out tonight and with that, Brooklyn won't have a typical PF on the court, so they'll have to use small ball lineups the whole game, with 3 guards on the court. Hence, I'll be taking the Over in here. 

  • Score 113-123
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/05 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 05 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Utah +1
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Utah is on an impressive winning streak and they are playing at a high level on both ends. That's the only way you can beat Toronto, Golden State and San Antonio almost in a row. The key of this improved play has been the improved play of Gobert and Rubio on both ends. On the other hand, the Pelicans are in a transition mode as they try to adapt to being without Cousins. They are now more perimeter based, but they are very inconsistent. Their lack of interior defense has been obvious, with an average of 53 points in the paint allowed on their last four games. Davis is a special player, but he can't do everything on his own. On the last game between these two teams, the Pelicans won at Utah with Cousins having a solid game, with 19 points, 11 rebounds, 1 assist and 2 steals. Utah was without Gobert at the time, so things will be very different tonight and so, I'll be taking the Jazz tonight.

  • Score 109-133
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/05 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 05 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Washington -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Washington without Wall has been having some impressive performances, especially on sharing the ball, as they have had 40, 27, 30 and 35 assists on the last four games. Defensively, the Wizards have been showing some impressive transition numbers, which will be important against an Indiana team that needs to score in transition. For today, Indiana will be without Oladipo and Collison. Obviously both absences are huge losses for the Pacers, but especially Oladipo, as Indiana has lost all the last four games where they had to play without him, as they lost against Dallas, at Chicago, against Minnesota and at Milwaukee by 4, 12, 17 and 21 points: a clear sign of Oladipo's impact on the team.  With Washington having great momentum right now, I expect them to pick up a comfortable win tonight.

  • Score 102-111
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/05 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 05 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Portland +2.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    Detroit is 2-0 with Griffin, having played with a faster pace and even though they still have some issues on their halfcourt offense, they are playing well in transition and in attacking the paint, with 60 points in the paint on their last game against Miami, even though the Heat were without Whiteside. However, Detroit will now face a Portland team that has an elite interior defense. The Blazers are coming from a late loss at Boston yesterday where both Lillard and McCollum struggled a bit against Boston who was without Irving, but who showcased a stingy perimeter defense. The same can't be said about Detroit, a team that has Ish and Bullock on the backcourt. I expect a clear bounce back from Portland's two key guards and so, I'll be taking Portland in here. As I expect Portland to play fast today and Detroit's halfcourt offense issues are normally only visible in the fourth quarter, I'll be also taking the Over on the First Half tonight.

  • Score 111-91
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

02/05 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 05 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over FIRST HALF 101.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Detroit is 2-0 with Griffin, having played with a faster pace and even though they still have some issues on their halfcourt offense, they are playing well in transition and in attacking the paint, with 60 points in the paint on their last game against Miami, even though the Heat were without Whiteside. However, Detroit will now face a Portland team that has an elite interior defense. The Blazers are coming from a late loss at Boston yesterday where both Lillard and McCollum struggled a bit against Boston who was without Irving, but who showcased a stingy perimeter defense. The same can't be said about Detroit, a team that has Ish and Bullock on the backcourt. I expect a clear bounce back from Portland's two key guards and so, I'll be taking Portland in here. As I expect Portland to play fast today and Detroit's halfcourt offense issues are normally only visible in the fourth quarter, I'll be also taking the Over on the First Half tonight.

  • Score 49-43
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.16

02/04 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 04 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Phoenix
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte -6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    EARLY GAME, no write up for this play

  • Score 110-115
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.08

02/03 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 03 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Golden State
  • Home Team Denver
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Denver +5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Golden State bounced back last night at Sacramento after a loss at Utah, but they needed the fourth quarter to seal the deal, so they couldn't rest anybody. The Warriors showed some sloppy play with 25 turnovers and this back to back spot for them will be very tough, as they played at 10:30PM EST last night and they'll now play on altitude at Denver at 9:00PM EST! Coach Kerr mentioned that his players are tired and on this bad spot, I expect them to struggle.

    On the other side, Denver is coming from three games in a row where they were competitive against good teams: Boston, at San Antonio and Oklahoma City. The key for that was Jokic playing very well and in the last game, he crushed Adams with 11-18 FG, 2-5 3pts, 5-6 FT, 29 points, 13 rebounds and 14 assists! With Denver having more ball handlers available, they are now committing less turnovers, with 11, 14 and 11 turnovers on their last three games. Denver's transition, attacks on the rim and better floor spacing have improved the team's offense and with that, I expect them to be super competitive tonight. I'm taking Denver in here.

  • Score 115-108
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/03 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 03 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 201
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -101 / 1.99
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Even before trading for Blake Griffin, Detroit changed their style to run more in transition in the two games against Cleveland. With Blake on the team, the Pistons continued to do that in the game against Memphis. These three games had faster paces than Detroit's season average for pace and for tonight, the Pistons will have a Miami team which will be without Whiteside and so, with a vulnerable interior defense, something that is great news for Blake and Drummond.

    On the other side, Miami will have the edge via perimeter shooting, as Detroit's perimeter defense hasn't been good lately. Miami will definitely use Olynyk in the Center position for a while tonight and this will put Detroit in trouble. Dragic is coming from an awful game last night at Philadelphia, where he shot 4-12 FG in just 23 minutes. Tonight with a good matchup against an undersized backcourt formed by Ish and Bullock, I expect Miami's offense to prosper. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 111-107
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

02/01 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 01 February 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Oklahoma City
  • Home Team Denver
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Oklahoma City-1.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    After a monster game against Philadelphia, where in 41 minutes he attempted 36 shots and 11 free throws, Westbrook was out of gas in the game against Washington and had a terrible game with 5-18 FG and 7 turnovers. For today, I expect him to bounce back in a game where the Thunder will have a great matchup against a banged up Nuggets team.

    Denver is playing without Plumlee and Millsap and in their last game at San Antonio, their Center rotation was formed by Jokic and Lyles. These are good news for Adams as even though he'll struggle to guard Jokic, he'll give a lot of problems to Jokic in the boards battle. On the other hand, the Nuggets have been using a 3-guards lineup with Murray, Harris and Barton, something that Paul George should take advantage of with his size edge. Finally, both Murray and Harris aren't exactly defensive stoppers and with Russ coming aggressive and with energy tonight, I expect him to explore Denver's poor defense at the PG position to give him team a nice win tonight.

  • Score 127-124
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.40

01/31 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 31 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Atlanta +3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    I expect Atlanta to be very competitive tonight in order to get revenge over their loss at Charlotte last week. Even though the Hawks lost by 11 points, they were actually up by 4 points (103-99) with 5 minutes to go only to suffer a 7-22 run. Marvin Williams is out for tonight and this is a huge blow for the Hornets, especially considering that their second unit has been awful lately and now will only get worse while facing a Hawks frontcourt bench that has good quality now that they have Dedmon and Muscala both back. I'm taking Atlanta tonight.

  • Score 110-123
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit -4.40

01/31 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 31 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Philadelphia
  • Home Team Brooklyn
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 210
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Without Redick and Bayless, Philadelphia had consecutive good outside shooting games, but that wasn't sustainable and so, they came back to Earth in the last two games with 11-29 and 2-26 3pts. However, these two players are now back and with them, Philadelphia is back to have perimeter shooting threats, who combine well with Embiid down low. Brooklyn got crushed at NY against the Knicks last night as I expected, with an inconsistent offense, but they offered positive signs for tonight. With Allen starting, Okafor is now the main frontcourt backup, which is always good news if you want a high scoring contest. Besides that, the Nets also played small with Carroll at the PF position, which will make tonight's game be super fast, with Philadelphia back to having a good perimeter shooting and Brooklyn exploring Philadelphia's poor pick n roll ball handler defense. I'm taking the Over in here.

  • Score 116-108
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/31 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 31 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 208.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Since I first released this play, it was announced that Irving will be out of this game, which is obviously a big blow for the Over. However, I believe we still have a good shot to win this play, especially if Larkin plays. The Knicks with Hardaway Jr starting are back to playing great offensive basketball and at a much faster pace. No wonder they averaged 112 points per game on their last six games. On the other hand, their defense is another story. They are coming from back to back games where they only allowed 85 and 95 points, but that was due to the awful perimeter shooting of their opponents, with a combined of 20-69 3pts on these two games. Boston will now explore this area with their good perimeter shooters and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 103-76
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

01/30 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 30 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland
  • Home Team Los Angeles Clippers
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Portland -2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    I won't even mention the emotional factor involving the Clippers tonight in order to back Portland in here. Simply the Blazers had 3 days off to prepare for this game and Blake would be the only huge edge in the matchups that the Clippers would have for this game, as Portland's PFs are all undersized to guard him. This is why Blake was the key for the Clippers' win at Portland earlier in the season, where he had 10-16 FG, 2-5 3pts, 3-8 FT for 25 points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists. With him gone to Detroit, that edge is lost.
     
    Portland has an elite interior defense, so they'll be able to slow down the Clippers' offense. On the other side, Portland's offense has improved lately helped by some good perimeter shooting, as they shot 40% 3pts on their last 10 games, the 4th best mark in the league during that span of games. I see the Clippers struggling with Teodosic and Williams to guard McCollum and Lillard, so I expect Portland to pick up a comfortable win tonight.
  • Score 96-104
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00
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