Track Picks

Track Picks

11/29 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 29 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 204.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Charlotte won't have Kemba Walker tonight and without him, the Hornets' offense is completely different and for the worse. The Hornets rely a lot on pick n rolls and without their best guard, it's likely that the team will get lost and lack good ball movement, which will be highly problematic against a good defensive team like the Raptors. So you can have an idea, Charlotte with Kemba on the floor scores 109.9 points per 100 possessions, but only 89.4 points without him, an enormous difference!
     
    On the other side, Charlotte has MKG to guard DeRozan and so, it's unlikely that DeRozan will have a big game tonight. MCW is also a nice defensive upgrade over Kemba, who has been poor on defense this season. Also the fact that Toronto plays with a legit big will also help Howard on defense, as he won't be pushed into outside the paint to guard someone like Kevin Love like he had to while facing the Cavs. This should be a low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

     

  • Score 126-113
  • W/L PENDING
  • Profit -4.08

11/28 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 28 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Cleveland
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection First Half Over 107
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This is a back to back game for Cleveland, but it's not that bad of a spot, as they had an easy win last night at Philadelphia and only one player was on the court for more than 30 minutes: Lebron with 31 minutos! So, I don't expect the Cavs to have a big letdown in here. The match up between Love and Whiteside benefits both offenses and given Cleveland's ability to spread the floor, they will take advantage of that to remove the edge that Miami's defense normally has thanks to their rim protection.

     
    On the other hand, besides Whiteside's edge on offense, the Heat also has two guards who will attack off the dribble and expose Cleveland's lack of speed. Miami also attempts a lot of treys, something that should also allow them to expose Cleveland's poor 3pts defense. The Heat's gameplan for tonight will be to run as much as possible to expose Cleveland's aging players and so, I'll be taking the First Half Over in here.
  • Score 75-49
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/25 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 25 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Toronto
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -6
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Toronto has lost their last two games thanks to second half collapses. So, they will be fired up to bounce back tonight against a relatively weak Hawks team. Toronto will have a big edge on offense tonight, as Lowry and DeRozan should have no problems in scoring tonight against Schroder and Bazemore. The Raptors will also attack the rim and explore the Hawks' mediocre interior defense and rebounding for an easy win tonight. I'll be taking Toronto tonight.

  • Score 78-112
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/25 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 25 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland
  • Home Team Washington
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 201.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Portland is coming from a road win in Brooklyn yesterday, where the Blazers' offense had a dream matchup against the poor Nets defense. Brooklyn has a weak interior defense and an awful pick n roll defense, which allowed Portland's offense to torch them. Things will be much different tonight, as Washington is a much better defensive team than Brooklyn in general and also in these two specific areas. On the other hand, Wall is still out and obviously Washington's offense gets a lot weaker without him. The Wizards aren't effective on transition without Wall and so, I believe Washington's offense will struggle in the half court sets against a Blazers' defense that has been an elite unit this season. I believe this will then be a low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 105-108
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.08

11/25 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 25 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Orlando
  • Home Team Philadelphia
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Orlando +6
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Orlando got crushed in Boston last night. They held their own well on the boards battle and they weren't crushed on the inside as expected. However, Boston just destroyed them from the perimeter with 17-42 3pts. In normal conditions, Orlando wouldn't have value at this line at Philadelphia, but Simmons will be out and without him, the Sixers' offense will struggle in putting the ball on Embiid tonight. The Magic will be looking a bounce back and I believe they will be very competitive tonight, so I'll be taking them in here.

  • Score 130-111
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.36

11/24 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 24 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Toronto
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 216.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This is a matchup that really favors a very high scoring game. Every time Toronto has the chance this season to play against run and gun teams, they look to run with them and I believe this will happen once again tonight. I believe the Raptors will have a frontcourt edge in here against the undersized Pacers frontcourt, but on the other hand, Indiana with their speed and shooting range should put both Valanciunas and Ibaka in trouble tonight. I believe this will be a very high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 107-104
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.36

11/24 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 24 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Orlando
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Orlando +7
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Boston is returning home after a long road trip. They are a big banged up with Morris having his minutes monitored and with their backup PG Larkin being a game-time decision. On the other hand, after a great start of the season, Orlando has been fading lately, with their interior defense being awful with Vucevic at the Center position. However, the Celtics lack a big man who can pound the Magic down low, as Horford is more of a perimeter-oriented big man. Orlando has plenty of size on the wings who will make them matchup well with the Celtics and so, I expect this game to be tight. I'll be taking Orlando tonight.

  • Score 118-103
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.24

11/22 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 22 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Dallas
  • Home Team Memphis
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 200
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -101 / 1.99
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    With Conley out because of injury, the Grizzlies have changed their offensive focus, running a lot more while attacking the rim. They struggled against Portland in their last game, but the Blazers have one of the best interior defenses of the league. On the other hand, Dallas' interior defense is one of the worst in the league, so Memphis' offense should have a big bounce back performance tonight.
     
    On the other side, the way Dallas spreads the floor with shooters will be a tough matchup for Memphis, a team that has Gasol patrolling the paint but who won't be able to have a lot of defensive impact tonight, as the Mavs almost exclusively shoot from the outside and with some success. I believe this will be a high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
  • Score 94-95
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.04

11/22 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 22 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte -2.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Write up
    This isn't an easy spot for the Wizards, as they'll be playing their third game in four nights, always on the road. On the other hand, Charlotte is coming from two home games against the Clippers and the Wolves. In theory, the Wizards' offense is a nice matchup for the Hornets' defense, as Washington doesn't shoot a lot from the outside, an area where the Hornets' defense has been struggling. So, just like it happened in their last two games, Charlotte won't have their main defensive issue explored in here.
     
    On the other hand, Washington hasn't been pushing the pace a lot this season, playing at a slower pace and running a lot less on transition. I believe the Wizards' defense will also be well in here, as they can guard the pick n roll well and hence limit Kemba's effectiveness on leading the Hornets' offense. I expect a relatively low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under tonight. Given the nice matchup and superior bench, I'll be also taking Charlotte tonight.
  • Score 129-124
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/22 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 22 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 208.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This isn't an easy spot for the Wizards, as they'll be playing their third game in four nights, always on the road. On the other hand, Charlotte is coming from two home games against the Clippers and the Wolves. In theory, the Wizards' offense is a nice matchup for the Hornets' defense, as Washington doesn't shoot a lot from the outside, an area where the Hornets' defense has been struggling. So, just like it happened in their last two games, Charlotte won't have their main defensive issue explored in here.
     
    On the other hand, Washington hasn't been pushing the pace a lot this season, playing at a slower pace and running a lot less on transition. I believe the Wizards' defense will also be well in here, as they can guard the pick n roll well and hence limit Kemba's effectiveness on leading the Hornets' offense. I expect a relatively low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under tonight. Given the nice matchup and superior bench, I'll be also taking Charlotte tonight.
  • Score 129-124
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

11/20 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 20 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Oklahoma City
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Oklahoma City -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Oklahoma City has been fairly inconsistent this season, but it's also clear that they are developing a pattern: whenever they face teams who don't want to run with them, they struggle on offense, especially on the fourth quarter. However, when they face teams that also play fast, their transition game explodes and this is what it will happen tonight against the Pelicans. New Orleans with Rondo and Nelson at the PG position won't stand a chance at guarding Westbrook and so, I expect the Thunder PG to have a huge game tonight. On the other hand, the Pelicans need to score a lot on the inside to stay competitive, but the Thunder has been having great interior defensive numbers with Adams leading the way. I believe this is a very good matchup for Oklahoma City and so, I'll be taking them in here.

  • Score 114-107
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.16

11/20 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 20 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Minnesota
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Under 213
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Minnesota used their starters a lot on their home loss against Detroit and they'll have a tough matchup tonight against the Hornets. Minnesota easily Charlotte at home some days ago, but that was when the Hornets were playing without both MKG and Batum. Both Wiggins and Butler had big games, but now with the Hornets' two best perimeter defenders back, things will be much tougher for Minnesota's offense tonight. 
     
    On the other side, Charlotte's offense has been very dependent from Kemba, but Minnesota will give him different looks from Butler to Teague, which should put Kemba in trouble tonight. I believe this totals line is too high and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Top Play!
  • Score 118-102
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -5.25

11/20 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 20 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Boston
  • Home Team Dallas
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 199
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    We have two confident teams in here, as Boston is currently on a big winning streak, while Dallas is coming from 111 points scored against a good defensive team like the Bucks. The Mavs are using a super small lineup right now, with a spread offense and plenty of small guards on the court. Boston's bigger size on the perimeter should allow the Celtics to boss Dallas around on offense and let the Celtics have a great offensive night in here. Boston has one of the best defenses in the league but in a game against a lowly team, I don't expect them to completely focus on defense. I see this game being a high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 102-110
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/20 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 20 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Philadelphia
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Utah +6
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    With Gobert out because of injury, Utah has been a lot more perimeter oriented than usual and they are showing good ability in that, as they have plenty of ball handlers, something that Philadelphia has been struggling to deal with defensively. The Jazz have finally won a road game this season last Saturday in Orlando, something that certainly gave them a good boost in confidence. Philadelphia will certainly have some edge with Embiid, but the team's shooting is so inconsistent that I believe that six points is too much against a confident Jazz team. I'll be taking Utah tonight.

  • Score 107-86
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

11/20 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 20 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Atlanta
  • Home Team San Antonio
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Over 202.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Both offenses will have a very nice matchup tonight. San Antonio with Aldridge will explore the fact that Atlanta plays with a very undersized PF (Babbitt), while the Hawks with their spread offense full of good outside shooters will put the Spurs in trouble, as San Antonio plays with two legit bigs in the frontcourt and normally struggles against teams with stretch fours. Besides that, Schroder will have a good matchup against Mills, so he'll have a great chance for a big game tonight. I expect this game to become a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. Top Play!

  • Score 96-85
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -5.45

11/19 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 19 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Golden State
  • Home Team Brooklyn
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 230.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    NOTE: No writeup for this play

  • Score 111-118
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/19 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 19 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Indiana
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 206.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    NOTE: No writeup for this play

  • Score 95-120
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/19 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 19 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    NOTE: No writeup for this play

  • Score 100-91
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/17 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 17 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Detroit
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 210.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This is a matchup that favors high scoring contests, as both teams will have nice edges on offense tonight. Detroit will have a clear size edge against an undersized Pacers team that won't have any answer to counter that. So, I expect Drummond and Harris to have huge games tonight. On the other side, the Pacers will have a speed edge which will allow them to run a lot in transition and catch the Pistons off-guard time and time again. I expect this game to be a high scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 107-100
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

11/16 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 16 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Golden State
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 219
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Boston is probably the best defensive team in the league right now and they also have the better equipped defense to handle the Warriors' offense given how Horford and Morris are forwards who can switch at every position. On the other hand, the Celtics' offense are still a work in progress. They are coming from 109 points scored against the Nets, but they only had 15 assists for 39 FG made, a sign of poor offensive chemistry. The Celtics' second unit has been playing well but it's a defensive minded unit, which should also this game become a relatively low scoring affair. On the other side, the Warriors' defense have also a nice matchup in here given Boston's offensive struggles and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 92-88
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/15 Tracking NBA Play #6

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 15 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Orlando
  • Home Team Portland
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Over 213
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Portland's offense has been an elite unit on offensive rebounding and in getting to the FT line and while Orlando's defense is decent in avoiding sending their opponents to the FT line, they are terrible on defensive rebounding and this will give the Blazers' offense a nice edge tonight. Portland's offense is based on pounding the rim time and time again, so they will have a great matchup tonight as Orlando's interior defense is outright horrible.
     
    On the other side, Orlando's offense doesn't attack the rim and so, Portland's elite rim defense won't be tested tonight. The Magic's offense is based on a lot of perimeter shooting and transitions, two areas where Portland's defense should struggle tonight against the quick and athletic Magic. I believe this game will quickly become a very high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. Top Play! 
  • Score 99-94
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -5.50

11/15 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 15 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection FIRST HALF Over 108
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Hence, I'll be taking Miami tonight. I'll be also taking the First Half Over!

  • Score 49-61
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

11/15 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 15 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team San Antonio
  • Home Team Minnesota
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection San Antonio +5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Betonline
  • Line -112 / 1.88
  • Write up

    San Antonio's defense has a decent matchup in here, as the two main areas where Minnesota's offense is good (offensive rebounding and going to the FT line), San Antonio's defense is an elite unit and should be able to remove most of the edge that the Wolves normally have in two areas on their games. So, Minnesota will have to settle for their mid-range jumpers a lot tonight.

    On the other hand, San Antonio will also use its mid range game a lot tonight, but they are normally efficient in that and Minnesota's defense hasn't been good at all this season. I believe this will be a very close game and with that, I see a lot of value on the experienced Spurs plus the points tonight.

  • Score 98-86
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.40

11/15 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 15 November 2017
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Sacramento
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Over 204.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Atlanta is coming from back to back games, where their pick n roll game was subpar, but it's important to note that they faced the Wizards and the Pelicans, two teams who have been very good on defending this kind of play this season. The same can't be said about the Kings, whose pick n roll defense has been mediocre at best. However, Atlanta's main edge on offense tonight will be on their perimeter shooting, as they have plenty of good shooters in their roster and Sacramento's perimeter defense has been terrible this season.
     
    On the other side, Atlanta's interior defense has been fairly bad this season and this will be explored by the Kings tonight, a team that has a lot of mid range game. Cauley-Stein and Randolph are coming from poor performances against the Wizards, but they have a good match up tonight to bounce back and help Sacramento have a good offensive game tonight. I see this game as a very high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. Top Play!
  • Score 126-80
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +5.00
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