Track Picks

Track Picks

01/30 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 30 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Brooklyn
  • Home Team New York
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection New York -5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Brooklyn may have Russell back (he's been struggling since he returned from injury), but the absences of Hollis-Jefferson and LeVert are huge blows for the team, especially on this specific matchup against the Knicks. Brooklyn has no quality replacement for RHJ, with Acy starting on his place and then the Nets being forced to use small ball lineups. This lack of size at the PF position will be terrible tonight, as Porzingis will then have a huge edge in here. 

    If in normal conditions, this would always be a good matchup for Porzingis, as he had 8-14 FG, 2-3 3pts, 8-11 FT for 26 points against Brooklyn earlier in the season, without RHJ, the Knicks will have a big edge near the basket, with Beasley also having a good opportunity to repeat the excellent performance he had against the Nets with 10-18 FG for 23 points in a previous game. This edge at the PF position is the main reason why the Knicks are 2-0 against the Nets this season and now with Brooklyn struggling offensively with turnovers and defensively without RHJ, I'll be taking the Knicks in here.

  • Score 111-95
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/29 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 29 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Minnesota
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 214
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    ATL has some pretty interior defensive numbers especially since Dedmon is back from injury. Their perimeter defense however is another story as they were crushed by their opponents in L3 games via 3pts: TOR 14-36 3pts; CHA 13-34 3pts & WAS 18-32 3pts. The good news for them is that they are facing MIN tonight: a team that is reluctant to shoot from the perimeter.

    MIN had finally a decent defensive game in the last match vs BKN and the fact that Jimmy Butler played is no coincident – he is by fair their best defensive player and the Wolves can be decent defensively here.

  • Score 105-100
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/29 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 29 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Dallas
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Miami -2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    Miami is a terrible matchup for the Mavericks: They have a powerful center that will dominate the paint and the offensive glass (Whiteside); a versatile PF that can easily defend on the perimeter and will matchup with H. Barnes (J. Johnson), and an elite 3pts defense – allowing just 30.4% 3pts in L10 games.

    Dallas usually has a matchup advantage with their bench, but for today they will be shorthanded as D. Harris & J.J. Barea are OUT. Actually, I don’t think they will have any edge with their bench as MIA’s 2nd unit is playing in such a high level – they took over the game vs. CHA with all of their 4 bench players with at least with +/- of +13!

  • Score 88-95
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +5.00

01/29 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 29 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Philadelphia
  • Home Team Milwaukee
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Milwaukee -5.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Last week, the Bucks went to Philadelphia without Giannis Antetokounmpo and the 76ers crushed them with a 116-94 blowout win; One week later the 76ers go now @MIL without Embiid, and I don’t think the Bucks will feel sorry for them.

    The 76ers are one of the better interior defensive teams in the league and Embiid is a huge factor for this. MIL would have some problems offensively as they need to score inside, but without Embiid, PHI really doesn’t have a strong rim defender player on the roster besides him.

    MIL is playing better with this "new" coach, we won easily yesterday with them as they crushed the Bulls with improved defense & offense, and I expect them to safely today as well.

  • Score 107-95
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/29 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 29 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte +3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    IND needed an epic comeback to defeat the Magic in the last game, and it was clear that Myles Turner is not 100% healthy (game shape) and this could be problematic for tonight’s game against Charlotte.

    Good or bad, the Hornets are giving Dwight Howard a lot of touches on the post, and facing Witheside in the last game @MIA he had a subpar game (FG% wise) with 7-16 FG. For today, with Turner not having regular minutes, most of the game he will be facing Sabonis and I expect the Hornets to dominate down low & on the boards.

    The Pacers are struggling a bit with their perimeter game, they were able to score 60 points in the paint vs. ORL but against a better interior defensive unit of the Hornets, I expect them to struggle a bit offensively and therefore, the Hornets will be ultra competitive tonight.

  • Score 105-96
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

01/28 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 28 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Philadelphia
  • Home Team Oklahoma City
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Philadelphia +3.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    No Write Up for this play

  • Score 122-112
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

01/28 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 28 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Clippers
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Los Angeles Clippers +2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    NOP will have to adjust playing without Cousins and the Clippers are just one of the worst matchups that they could face without Cousins as they have 2 legit big men plenty of size and strength. Davis doesn’t like to play center, but NOP don’t have other option, and he’s going to bang vs. DeAndre Jordan here. NOP bad perimeter defense won’t improve and Lou Williams is just carving teams up with his play. 

  • Score 103-112
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/28 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Sunday, 28 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 5* Top Play
  • Selection Milwaukee -2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    The Bulls already have defeated twice the Bucks this season (both games in Milwaukee!), so I expect some revenge mindset from the Bucks today.

    With a “new” coach, the Bucks made some tweaks, especially on the defensive end by not being so aggressive trapping the ball handlers in order to not give so many weak side shots to opponents; that worked well vs. BKN as the Nets shot just 8-34 3pts. This is important against a Bulls team that needs to hit outside shots to be competitive.

    The Bulls are struggling right now without Dunn and with the addition of Zach Lavine… Their perimeter defense is just awful with Grant, Lavine and Holiday lacking size and strength, that’s why the Lakers just blitzed them in the last game with 33 fast break points & 52 points in the paint. Well, now they will have to face MIL’s aggressive offensive unit with Bledsoe, Middleton and, more importantly Antetokounm… Good luck with that!

  • Score 96-110
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +5.00

01/27 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 27 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Miami
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection FIRST HALF Over 104
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    I took the Over in Charlotte's game last night and the Hornets had a great offensive night with 121 points scored. Their pace has been insane in their last game and they'll be on attack mode against a Miami team that went to Charlotte and won last week with an amazing comeback. Even though Miami was competitive in that game, they missed Tyler Johnson, who is a good alternative to Dragic on ball handling duties. Without him, Miami's drive and kick game struggles, but with him back, I expect Miami's offense to be dynamic and with Charlotte setting a fast pace, Miami should be put on the run. Given Miami's good perimeter game, I believe they'll have a good offensive performance tonight and combining that with the pace and Charlotte's current form, I'll be taking the Over on the First Half in here, as Charlotte might struggle a bit physically on the second half.

  • Score 54-48
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

01/27 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 27 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 211.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Wall is out for tonight and his impact will be visible on both ends, which should send this game under the total posted. Both teams have excellent transition defenses, so this should be a game played on half court sets even though it will also have a fast pace. Both the Heat and the Wizards have been struggling with turnovers lately and Washington's offense without Wall loses its explosion, so Atlanta will be able to focus their attention on Beal, who is coming from a big game at Oklahoma City, but where he played 46 minutes. Satoransky is a solid player, but he is no threat on offense neither. 

    On the other side, Washington's defense has been awful and Wall has been the main culprit of that by being too passive and not going back on defenses, besides the fact of showing no effort on defense by playing injured. Things will be different with Satoransky on the floor and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 104-129
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

01/27 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 27 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Orlando
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Orlando +6
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line +100 / 2.00
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This isn't an easy spot for Indiana, who will play today their third game in four games, including a back to back spot, always travelling and having used their best players close to 40 minutes last night against Cleveland. On the other hand, Orlando had 3 days off and they're coming from a terrible home loss against Sacramento, where they relaxed too much after being up by 11 points in the third quarter. So, the Magic won't surely come in relax mode onto tonight's game.

    Orlando's offense is terrible on the perimeter, but they're pretty good in attacking the rim and scoring in the paint, averaging 55 points in the paint per game on their last six games. Indiana's rim protection has been awful due to having an undersized unit on the frontcourt. Turner is back from injury, but he'll come off the bench and he'll be rusty after so much time out. Indiana's other centers are Sabonis and Jefferson, who offer no rim protection. So, Orlando should have a nice offensive edge tonight.

    Even though Indiana had a decent game from the perimeter at Cleveland last night with 13-31 3pts, they have been inconsistent from the outside and tired legs could be a factor in here. In fact, the last night they played a back to back game, they shot 2-25 3pts at LA against the Lakers. I expect the Magic to be very competitive and so, I'll be taking them in here.

  • Score 114-112
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/26 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 26 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Philadelphia
  • Home Team San Antonio
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Philadelphia +4
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    I believe this game will be super close and so, the Sixers as four points underdogs have lots of value in here. Both teams have been showing great defensive numbers, as they both protect the rim efficiently and have great transition defense numbers. The key for this game will be Philadelphia's bigger ability to explode on offense when compared to San Antonio. The Sixers have been crushing opponents on rebounding and they are also finishing very well near the basket. 
     
    The Sixers' biggest weakness has been defending skilled guards, as their pick n roll ball handler defense is second last in the league, but San Antonio lacks this kind of guards, besides the aging Tony Parker and so, the Sixers won't see this weakness explored tonight. Hence, I'll be taking Philadelphia tonight.
  • Score 78-97
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/26 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 26 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Houston
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 227
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    I expect a super fast paced game between two teams with different styles. Coach D'Antoni said it all: 
     
    “You try to impose your will,” Rockets coach Mike D’Antoni said. “They try to keep their bigs at the rim. We try to get them out from the rim. We’ll see who can do it best."
     
    The Pelicans' perimeter defense has been terrible and in the last 10 games, no team allowed more wide open treys than the Pelicans. Since Harden returned from the injury, Houston shot 17-39, 14-37, 15-37 and 21-51 3pts , so they should be able to explore the Pelicans' poor perimeter defense tonight. The Rockets are coming from two games where they scored only 99 and 104 points, but that's mostly due to the slow pace of those games, as they faced two slow paced teams in Miami and Dallas. Now against New Orleans, things should be very different.
     
    On the other side, New Orleans will have a clear edge near the basket, with Davis having a massive edge over Anderson. Capela is back at the Center position for Houston, but he isn't an elite interior defender anyway. For example, Miami scored 56 points in the paint against them a few days ago. I see this game being a super high scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
  • Score 115-113
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/26 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 26 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -8
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Utah is coming from a nice win at Detroit on overtime, but the team's problems with starting Rubio, Favors and Gobert at the same time are evident. Besides that, it's important to note that the Jazz were down by 9 points at Detroit with only 3 minutes to go against a struggling Pistons team. Utah lacks a proper floor spacing and they are struggling to get good FG% at the rim, as only Mitchell is an explosive player and can drive well into the basket. This against a defense like the Raptors' will cause them a lot of problems to score.

    However, what concerns me the most about Utah is their defense. While facing a poor and struggling offense like the Pistons', the Jazz allowed 58 points in the paint, with 25-38 (66%) FG at the rim, and 17 fast break points. If the struggling Pistons' offense had those numbers, imagine what Toronto can't do against this Jazz defense. Toronto is on a good spot of only two games in six days and with the #1 seed in mind, I expect the Raptors to have a double digits win in here.

  • Score 93-97
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

01/26 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 26 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Los Angeles Lakers
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Los Angeles Lakers +4
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Chicago won't have Dunn tonight, but they'll have a returning Lavine. These two changes will make the Bulls' defense worse and with issues on the ball handling on offense as well. The Lakers' offense might be quite basic, but they are using a lot of transitions and scoring a lot in the paint lately with 60, 60 and 58 points in the paint scored on their last three games. As the Bulls lack a good paint defense, especially on the second unit with Mirotic and Portis, combined with Chicago's terrible transition defense, this is a matchup dream for the Lakers' offense in order to have a huge game tonight.
     
    The Lakers are clearly in a good moment, with a clearly improved defense, especially on the perimeter, which will help them against a Bulls team that loves to shoot from the outside. I see a lot of value on the Lakers tonight as the underdogs and so, I'll be taking the LA team in here.
  • Score 103-108
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/26 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 26 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Atlanta
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 210.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -104 / 1.96
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    I took the Under in Charlotte's last game and faded Atlanta in their last game because both teams were facing tough matchups to have big offensive games. Atlanta really struggled against Toronto's imposing frontcourt and defensive minded guards. On the other side, Charlotte faced an elite pick n roll ball handler defense in the Pelicans and even though the Hornets scored 52 points in the paint, they struggled to create good looks, with Kemba shooting 8-21 FG.

    On tonight's game, I believe both teams will have a clear edge on offense, as both defenses are awful against pick n roll ball handler situations. With both Schroder and Kemba having a matchup edge on offense, I believe both teams' offenses will be very effective tonight and on a fast paced game, this will quickly become a run and gun affair and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 121-110
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/24 Tracking NBA Play #5

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 24 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Toronto
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Write up

    The Raptors are just a terrible matchup for the Hawks as they are elite in defending PNR BH action (ranked #7) and their size on the frontcourt  just overwhelms ATL's undersized frontcourt. They are coming from a bad loss @MIN, had 3 days off to prepare this contest and, there is also "some bad blood" between these 2 teams after the way their last H2H game ended. With TOR being focused, ATL will be in trouble as their first 2 games vs TOR can attest this = 2 blowout wins for TOR.  

  • Score 93-108
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/24 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 24 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Phoenix
  • Home Team Indiana
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 213.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    I expect this contest to be a high scoring affair. Both teams will be without their best interior defensive players as Turner remains out for IND, while Alex Len is out for PHX – Monroe will be Chandler’s backup = good for every over play.

    IND is coming from a solid road trip in which they won 3 games vs. 2 losses. Their offense was great in the first 2 games but they struggled in the next 3 games. In my opinion, fatigue was a big factor as playing 3 games in 4 days @POR / @LAL / @SAS is not easy, but they had 2 days off going for tonight.

    In the last H2H, PHX scored “only” 97 pts (IND scored 120) but in that game, PHX’s #2 best offensive T.J. Warren didn’t play and the Suns had only in D. Booker their only offensive player. With Turner out, I expect the Suns to explore IND’s poor interior defense (PHX scored 60 pts in the paint against MIL in the last game!).

  • Score 116-101
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/24 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 24 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte -2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Just a bad spot for the Pelicans that are inconsistent and when their 2 frontcourt players have some problems to be efficient, they really struggle.

  • Score 96-101
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

01/24 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 24 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 223.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    I think this line is too high in this matchup as my fair price is 220 points. This is not a great spot for NOP as they are coming from a double ot game vs. Bulls and their best players logged heavy minutes. Davis & Cousins dominated the undersized CHI’s frontcourt but things won’t be that easy vs. CHA tonight with D. Howard patrolling the paint.

    NOP defense has been awful on the perimeter but their defensive scheme is built to stop the opposing PG ball handler (ranked #4 in the league), and this will work in this matchup as CHA have in Kemba Walker their offensive motor via PNR.

  • Score 96-101
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/24 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 24 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Chicago
  • Home Team Philadelphia
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 217.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    PHI is coming from a bad loss @MEM in which they have committed 24 TO’s!! In the L4 games they had 22, 22, 18 & 24 TO’s! For tonight, they will be without 3 of their best guards: Redick, Bayless & McConnell, so things won’t be easy for them here. Their lack of perimeter shooting is noticeable (even though they hit 14-31 3pts in that @MEM loss), and so, I expect the Bulls to focus their defensive attention vs. Embiid as PHI will struggle to get a good offensive flow.

    On the end, I expect PHI to be fine defensively vs. CHI. The Bulls scored 66 points in the paint against the Pelicans in their last game (Double OT loss) while scoring 19 fast break points. I don’t think they will match such stellar marks tonight as the 76ers with Embiid are elite both in points in the paint defense & ranked #1 in the league in transition defense.

  • Score 115-101
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/23 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 23 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team Golden State
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 226
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    The Knicks are without their 2 best frontcourt defensive players for tonight: Porzingis & O’Quinn. They both have by far the best rim protection numbers of the team and their absence will give more minutes to Kanter, Beasley & Hernangomez – not a good sign for their expected defensive performance tonight against the Warriors.

    With Hardaway Jr back, the Knicks improved dramatically their perimeter shooting numbers and they have been playing @ faster tempo as well. This will fit the Warriors offense… I expect some great offensive numbers from GSW tonight.

    I also think that NYK can score at a decent margin: they will have some edge via offensive rebounding and points close to the basket with Beasley & Kanter and they can some perimeter shooting with Lee, Hardaway Jr. and McDermott. The fact that Porzingis is OUT will put GSW into a “relax” spot, in which they can manage their defensive effort. So, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 123-112
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/23 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 23 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Sacramento
  • Home Team Orlando
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Orlando -6.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    It’s not usual to see the Magic favored by that many points tonight but I expect them to easily dismantle the Kings here as they have some good edges on both ends of the court.

    Since they had 3 days off to rest and practice after a close loss @WAS, the Magic was ultra competitive in their last 3 games as they had a chance to win them all: MIN, @CLE & @BOS. Still having a 2-1 record vs. those opponents is a great sign for them.

    They improved dramatically their defensive focus on the perimeter. In their L10 games, they had the #2 best mark in the league in allowing opponents to have “wide open” shots; Center Khem Birch has emerged in the rotation and took Speights’ minutes @ center backup spot, which is always good news for a defensive team.

    Sacramento’s offense is now led by rookie D. Fox and obviously they are struggling, they still had some good 3pts numbers in the last 3 games but I expect ORL’s improved perimeter defense to take care of business.

    The biggest edge of the game in my opinion is related with the matchup between ORL offense vs. SAC defense: ORL is lacking perimeter shooting, but they have been great in attacking the paint with drives & transition plays. Tonight they will face SAC’s awful rim defense (ranked #26 L15 games) & awful transition defense (ranked #20 but been worst L10 games & allowing 18 fast break pts/game in L7 games).

    I expect ORL to produce plenty of easy points and win by DD points tonight.

  • Score 99-105
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

01/22 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 22 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Portland
  • Home Team Denver
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 210
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    No write ups for this play

  • Score 104-101
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20
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