Track Picks

Track Picks

01/22 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 22 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Houston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 213
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    No write ups for this play

  • Score 99-90
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/22 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 22 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Chicago
  • Home Team New Orleans
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 226
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    No write ups for this play

  • Score 132-122
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/20 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 20 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Milwaukee
  • Home Team Philadelphia
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 209
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    In normal conditions, it would never be easy for Milwaukee to score against Philadelphia, who with Embiid has a great interior defense, and with that, Milwaukee would always have to base their game on transition and points in the paint, a tough challenge as the Sixers are #1 in the league on transition defense and have a good interior defense. However, if we add to this that Giannis and Brogdon will be out for tonight, Milwaukee will be lacking any kind of offensive talent and shooting.
     
    On the other side, Philadelphia will be also without Redick and Bayless, two of the best team shooters. Philadelphia has recently struggled on perimeter shooting with 11-28, 6-25 and 6-17 3pts on their last three games. Now with TLC starting as SG, Philadelphia will use a backcourt with no perimeter shooting and so, Milwaukee will pack the paint to limit Embiid as usual. I expect an ugly low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
  • Score 116-94
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit -4.32

01/20 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 20 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Charlotte -7
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -102 / 1.98
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Miami's spot for this contest is just terrible, according to an ESPN article: "The schedule commands this to be Miami's fifth game in seven days (vs. the Bucks, at the Bulls, at the Bucks, then at Brooklyn, before heading to Charlotte), their third game in four days, and the second of a back-to-back set with travel involved, no less. The schedule also commands that this will be the fourth straight road game for the Heat. They'll play in Milwaukee on Jan. 17, then head to Brooklyn -- losing an hour in the process -- to face the Nets on Jan. 19. And after facing those Nets, the Heat will head out that same night for Charlotte to duel the Hornets less than 24 hours later. Meanwhile, the Hornets will enter this game with a two-day rest advantage and will be on the fifth day of an 11-day homestand."
     
    Tyler Johnson's absence due to injury has been clear in Miami's last two games due to the Heat's lack of ball handlers and floor spacing. Miami used to have good numbers on 3pts shooting, but they shot 10-24 and 7-22 3pts on their last two games, with a clear decrease in the number of 3pts attempts as well. Thanks to this, they're now taking more 2pts shots than before.
     
    "With Derrick Jones Jr. and James Johnson struggling offensively, Richardson’s recent preference for 2-point baskets has destroyed whatever spacing the starters had since Tyler Johnson’s ankle sprain. In the last two games without Tyler, Josh hasn’t filled Tyler’s void, as 19 of Richardson’s 28 field goal attempts were in the 2-point range, and JRich converted only 3 of his 9 three-point shots."
     
    To make things worse for the Heat, Dragic is out for tonight, which makes Miami even more shorthanded in the backcourt. On the other side, Charlotte is confident and playing really good basketball. They had a bad loss lately against the Thunder, where they lacked energy in a third game in four nights plus back to back spot, but other than that, they've been playing well lately. Whiteside had two good games against the undersized frontcourts of the Bucks and the Nets, but now against Howard, who has been playing well, things should be different. Thanks to all of these factors, I'm taking Charlotte tonight.
  • Score 105-106
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.08

01/20 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 20 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Chicago
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 216
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -101 / 1.99
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    The absence of Kris Dunn is way more important than people realize in this matchup as his good defense would be key vs. ATL's best player guard Dennis Schroder.

  • Score 97-113
  • W/L LOSS

01/20 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Saturday, 20 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Chicago
  • Home Team Atlanta
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Atlanta -2
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    The absence of Kris Dunn is way more important than people realize in this matchup as his good defense would be key vs. ATL's best player guard Dennis Schroder.

  • Score 97-113
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

01/19 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 19 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team Utah
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection New York +5.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    We should have in theory have won our Knicks play in their game at Memphis with Gasol out, but the Knicks entered the game in relax mode and never recovered. 
     
    Coach Hornacek said it all: “It was from the start. We talked about setting the tone. We came out there and we were happy with not closing out on guys, giving guys easy shots. We let them get going early. We played no defense. Down 18 now we all of a sudden want to play defense. That’s what we should have been doing from the start of the game.”
     
    I expect the Knicks to come focused tonight against a Utah team that will have Gobert back, but on limited minutes. With Gobert back, Favors will play more at the PF position and this will help the Knicks offense, who will now be able to use their traditional lineup with two bigs. I see this game being very close and so, I'll be taking the Knicks. 
  • Score 115-117
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/19 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 19 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Washington
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 208.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    Washington has been lately using the strange approach of wanting to play super fast in order to try to outscore their opponents. They are averaging 111.3 points per game on their last 10 games, but they have been turnover prone and they've been lacking energy on defense. In the same span of games, they've been allowing 110.2 points per game, including 133 points at Charlotte on their last game, which made their coach explode. 
     
    “It’s unacceptable the way we competed,” Scott Brooks said after the loss. “We’re going to have change some things and make sure we’re all going to compete. If not, we’re going to have to find guys who are going to compete. 
     
    "They were making every shot. We didn’t make them feel us. We didn’t put pressure on guys,” John Wall said after the game. “They were basically running dummy offense and getting whatever they wanted and being the more aggressive team, so that’s why they scored so high.”
     
    Washington’s lack of aggression was most evident in the paint. Dwight Howard posted 18 points and 15 rebounds in just 29 minutes for the Hornets. On the other side, Markieff Morrisand Marcin Gortat combined for two points and six fouls. To add insult to injury, Dwight Howard clowned the team after making a pair of technical free throws in the fourth quarter.
     
    For today, I expect Washington to come focused on defense. Detroit, on the other hand, had a great game plan at Toronto in trapping the ball in their ball handlers DeRozan and Lowry, forcing the Raptors to commit 21 turnovers. Having in account the Wizards have Beal and Wall, I expect the same gameplan for tonight, which will put Washington's offense in trouble. Given all of these factors, I'll be taking the Under in here.
  • Score 112-122
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

01/19 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 19 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team San Antonio
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 204
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This is bad spot for San Antonio, who played three games in the road, then played one game at home and will now play their third game in a row on the road once again. That's seven straight games with always travel involved. The Spurs are coming from a win at Brooklyn where they played without Ginobili, Leonard and Gay, which made them showcase a limited offense, where only Aldridge and Gasol seemed to look good on offense, with some help from Mills as well. Aldridge had a big game with 13-24 FG, 34 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, but one thing is to face a undersized Nets team with RHJ and Acy to guard him and another thing to face a Raptors team with Ibaka and Siakam.
     
    With Toronto limiting LMA on offense, San Antonio lacks talent on the backcourt, as I don't believe the veteran Parker will have an edge over Lowry or over the backup Toronto guards. On the other side, San Antonio's defense has been playing well, with Green coming back and helping the team improving their defense on transition and on perimeter shooting. This is why I'll be taking the Under in here, as I believe this will be a low scoring game. On the other hand, Toronto has more talent than San Antonio at the moment, with a clear speed edge from Lowry or Parker. Even though Green will guard DeRozan today, he rarely plays over 30 minutes, so DeRozan will also have some opportunities for a nice game today. Therefore, I'll be also taking Toronto in here.
  • Score 86-83
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/19 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 19 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team San Antonio
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Toronto -6
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    This is bad spot for San Antonio, who played three games in the road, then played one game at home and will now play their third game in a row on the road once again. That's seven straight games with always travel involved. The Spurs are coming from a win at Brooklyn where they played without Ginobili, Leonard and Gay, which made them showcase a limited offense, where only Aldridge and Gasol seemed to look good on offense, with some help from Mills as well. Aldridge had a big game with 13-24 FG, 34 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, but one thing is to face a undersized Nets team with RHJ and Acy to guard him and another thing to face a Raptors team with Ibaka and Siakam.
     
    With Toronto limiting LMA on offense, San Antonio lacks talent on the backcourt, as I don't believe the veteran Parker will have an edge over Lowry or over the backup Toronto guards. On the other side, San Antonio's defense has been playing well, with Green coming back and helping the team improving their defense on transition and on perimeter shooting. This is why I'll be taking the Under in here, as I believe this will be a low scoring game. On the other hand, Toronto has more talent than San Antonio at the moment, with a clear speed edge from Lowry or Parker. Even though Green will guard DeRozan today, he rarely plays over 30 minutes, so DeRozan will also have some opportunities for a nice game today. Therefore, I'll be also taking Toronto in here.
  • Score 86-83
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

01/18 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 18 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Minnesota
  • Home Team Houston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Minnesota +5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Houston will have lots of changes for today's game and with that, I expect Minnesota to be extremely competitive tonight. The Wolves are coming from a bad loss at Orlando, where they clearly relaxed against a lowly team after a homespan, where they destroyed good teams such as New Orleans, Cleveland, Oklahoma City and Portland. Minnesota has been playing very well and in a way where they are rarely out of any game, as they have elite low turnover and high offensive rebounding numbers, while also going to the free throw line a lot.
     
    Defensively, Minnesota has stopped being awful and their improvement has been especially on transition defense, with just 8.2 fast break points allowed per game on their last 10 contests. Houston is a great team, but there'll be lots of changes that should ruin the team's flow a bit. Ariza is suspended, Mbah a Moute returns and I don't know if he'll be physically ready to handle Wiggins, while Harden will play but only 25 minutes. With Green out, Harden will eventually have to guard Butler, while Towns will explore his edge over Anderson. Therefore, I believe the Wolves will be super competitive and so, I'll be taking them plus the points tonight.
  • Score 116-98
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

01/17 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Wednesday, 17 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New York
  • Home Team Memphis
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection New York -1.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    One of the problems of the Knicks this season has been winning on the road, where they are just 5-15 SU. However, they have been way more competitive lately with a better mindset and, more importantly, playing it better. They have defeated the Nets in the last game (playing in 2nd night of a b2b spot); they were down by 1 @ red hot Minnesota before collapsing in the 4th quarter and they have defeated the Mavericks in the previous road game.

    Their perimeter offense has been inconsistent but Tim Hardaway Jr. is back to boost their offensive power. In the last game @BKN, I really liked the fact that their coach just gave more minutes to bench players who were playing better and he was rewarded with the win – big team morale boost: Kanter and J. Jack played only 9 and 13 minutes vs. Ntilikina & O’Quinn that played 29 & 23 minutes.

    They will play @ MEM that is coming from a nice but completely overrated win vs. the LA Lakers in the last game. Note that they received a LAL team that were coming from an OT game @ DAL in the previous game and were without Lonzo Ball & B. Ingram – 2 key players of the game.

    For some reason, LAL’s coach Luke Walton decided to play “small” almost all game (Lopez logged only 19min) and the Grizzlies took advantage of that by scoring 54 points in the paint. This won’t happen vs. NYK that plays always with two legit big men on the frontcourt.

    MEM’s offense relies almost exclusively of the play of Evans & Gasol… M. Gasol is questionable for tonight (illness) so this hurts MEM’s offense. NYK’s rookie PG Ntilikina has been getting more minutes lately and he is already a formidable defensive player that will give problems to Evans. I expect NYK to win today even with Gasol on the lineup.

  • Score 105-99
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

01/16 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 16 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 214.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    The Pelicans have been inconsistent all season and they're coming from a win at NY against the Knicks in very special conditions, as they were down by 14 points after three quarters and only a huge choke from the Knicks allowed them to comeback and win the game. However, the Pelicans only managed to have 19 assists while having also 19 turnovers and shooting 9-32 3pts, which is never a good recipe to be competitive. Today against a super rested Celtics, the Pelicans' lack of depth on the backcourt and with Boston's great interior defense, I believe this will be too much for the Pelicans.
     
    New Orleans depends too much on their two big men and Boston is #6 in the league on rim defense. Baynes' strength won't be an easy matchup for Cousins, in a game where Baynes will probably play longer than usual because of the matchup. Boston had a similar matchup against Minnesota a few weeks ago, where they only allowed the Wolves to score 84 points and in that game, Baynes played 27 minutes, when his season average is around 19 minutes. Boston has also an elite transition defense, an area that the Pelicans like to explore on offense, but with a well defended frontcourt and with a limited transition game, I believe New Orleans' offense will struggle tonight.
     
    On the other hand, the Pelicans' defense has been pretty good against the pick n roll ball handler plays, but they are struggling on defending 3pts shooting. Also their lack of size at the SF/SG positions will be well explored by both Tatum and Brown, while Boston should also have a bench edge in here. With edges on both offense and defense, I believe Boston will pick up a comfortable win tonight, while this totals line is assuming a good offensive display by both teams, something that I don't expect. I'll be taking both the Celtics and the Under tonight.
  • Score 113-116
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.28

01/16 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Tuesday, 16 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team New Orleans
  • Home Team Boston
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Boston -5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    The Pelicans have been inconsistent all season and they're coming from a win at NY against the Knicks in very special conditions, as they were down by 14 points after three quarters and only a huge choke from the Knicks allowed them to comeback and win the game. However, the Pelicans only managed to have 19 assists while having also 19 turnovers and shooting 9-32 3pts, which is never a good recipe to be competitive. Today against a super rested Celtics, the Pelicans' lack of depth on the backcourt and with Boston's great interior defense, I believe this will be too much for the Pelicans.
     
    New Orleans depends too much on their two big men and Boston is #6 in the league on rim defense. Baynes' strength won't be an easy matchup for Cousins, in a game where Baynes will probably play longer than usual because of the matchup. Boston had a similar matchup against Minnesota a few weeks ago, where they only allowed the Wolves to score 84 points and in that game, Baynes played 27 minutes, when his season average is around 19 minutes. Boston has also an elite transition defense, an area that the Pelicans like to explore on offense, but with a well defended frontcourt and with a limited transition game, I believe New Orleans' offense will struggle tonight.
     
    On the other hand, the Pelicans' defense has been pretty good against the pick n roll ball handler plays, but they are struggling on defending 3pts shooting. Also their lack of size at the SF/SG positions will be well explored by both Tatum and Brown, while Boston should also have a bench edge in here. With edges on both offense and defense, I believe Boston will pick up a comfortable win tonight, while this totals line is assuming a good offensive display by both teams, something that I don't expect. I'll be taking both the Celtics and the Under tonight.
  • Score 113-116
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.32

01/15 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 15 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Indiana
  • Home Team Utah
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 208
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up


    Indiana continues to be without Turner and so, the Center spot is now up to Sabonis and Big Al. With that, Indiana's interior defense is now very poor that will be explored by Utah's offense that at home is normally more aggressive. On the other side, Indiana's offense with Oladipo is very explosive and they are now coming from 120 points scored at Phoenix yesterday. Utah besides Gobert out has now Sefolosha now as well, which makes me believe that they'll use lineups with Johnson at PF, with a downgrade in size and play faster. Therefore, I expect this game to be a fast paced game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

  • Score 94-109
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

01/15 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 15 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Miami
  • Home Team Chicago
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 206
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -108 / 1.92
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    ***No writeup for this play - 3:30PM EST start***

  • Score 119-111
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/15 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 15 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 203.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This super early start game between two teams that rely on the perimeter to be effective might not be the right environment for a shootout. Charlotte has been an inconsistent team that really needs Kemba Walker to be effective and Dwight Howard to dominate down low as their wings guys (Batum, MKG and Williams) are all having subpar seasons so far.

    This could be a problem against this Pistons team… Ish Smith (better than Reggie Jackson) and Avery Bradley form a good defensive backcourt that will work hard to defend Walker, and the Pistons have super size at the center position with Drummond and Moreland, so the 2 best CHA’s players will have their hands full on the offensive end. One of the reasons CHA lost their last game vs OKC was that they were completely outrebounded by OKC!

    DET is having the better spot today vs. CHA that is playing 3in4 spot. They will explore the poor CHA’s PNR defense between Walker and Howard and so, I expect the Pistons to win today at home in a defensive minded game.

  • Score 107-118
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.40

01/15 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Monday, 15 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Charlotte
  • Home Team Detroit
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Detroit -2.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    This super early start game between two teams that rely on the perimeter to be effective might not be the right environment for a shootout. Charlotte has been an inconsistent team that really needs Kemba Walker to be effective and Dwight Howard to dominate down low as their wings guys (Batum, MKG and Williams) are all having subpar seasons so far.

    This could be a problem against this Pistons team… Ish Smith (better than Reggie Jackson) and Avery Bradley form a good defensive backcourt that will work hard to defend Walker, and the Pistons have super size at the center position with Drummond and Moreland, so the 2 best CHA’s players will have their hands full on the offensive end. One of the reasons CHA lost their last game vs OKC was that they were completely outrebounded by OKC!

    DET is having the better spot today vs. CHA that is playing 3in4 spot. They will explore the poor CHA’s PNR defense between Walker and Howard and so, I expect the Pistons to win today at home in a defensive minded game.

  • Score 107-118
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit 4.28

01/12 Tracking NBA Play #4

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Memphis
  • Home Team Denver
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Under 204
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -109 / 1.91
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

    Denver will be without Harris tonight, who is the team's best backcourt player. Memphis' defense has been solid with Green and Gasol protecting the basket. The Grizzlies are coming from a win against New Orleans, where they scored 50 points in the paint against a team that was playing without Davis. However, the Nuggers play Plumlee and Jokic near the basket, who have been having great interior defensive numbers, and with Memphis' offense struggling to score near the basket, there'll be lots of pressure on the Grizzlies' outside shooters to perform. I see this game being a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

  • Score 87-78
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/12 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Orlando
  • Home Team Washington
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Washington -11
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -103 / 1.97
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    Washington is coming from a home loss where they could have played better, but it's also important to say that Utah played well and had full merit for the win. The Wizards got publicly bashed and they'll now come fired up for this game and ready to expose how bad Orlando is. The Magic are coming from a 7 points loss at Milwaukee, where if it wasn't for the trash time and they would have lost that game by more 20 points. Orlando can't score from the outside and their offense relies on transition plays. The problem is that Washington's transition defense is very good and so, they'll be a terrible matchup for Orlando's offense. Besides that, Orlando will only have a small edge on paint.
     
    On the other side, Washington's offense will be focused and they won't have problems in handling Orlando's defense that has been awful at the perimeter. A team that plays Speights at Center for 20-25 minutes a game has no defense whatsoever. I believe in an easy blowout win for Washington and so, I'll be taking them in here.

     

  • Score 125-119
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.12

01/12 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Over 206.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up

     

    These two teams are at a similar level, so 4.5 points is way too much for this game. Charlotte's defense continues to have problems, especially against teams that shoot a lot from the 3pts line. Dallas crushed them like that with 15-36 3pts and Utah has a similar approach, with some inconsistency, but with Johnson back, the Jazz has been more solid as they have two decent ball handlers coming off the bench with Hood and Johnson.  
     
    Utah has been playing with small ball lineups and in the last three games, they scored 10, 16 and 18 fast break points. On the other hand, Charlotte depends too much on Kemba, who won't have an easy matchup tonight against a solid defender like Rubio. The Hornets could have some edge down low with Howard, but in my opinion Utah's edges on offense will be bigger than Charlotte's edges on their own offense. Both teams have been playing fast and so, this won't be a traditional slow paced game. I expect a super tight high scoring game and so, I'll be taking both the Jazz and the Over in here.
  • Score 99-88
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.20

01/12 Tracking NBA Play #1

Additional Info

  • Date Friday, 12 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Utah
  • Home Team Charlotte
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Utah +4.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -106 / 1.94
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    These two teams are at a similar level, so 4.5 points is way too much for this game. Charlotte's defense continues to have problems, especially against teams that shoot a lot from the 3pts line. Dallas crushed them like that with 15-36 3pts and Utah has a similar approach, with some inconsistency, but with Johnson back, the Jazz has been more solid as they have two decent ball handlers coming off the bench with Hood and Johnson.  
     
    Utah has been playing with small ball lineups and in the last three games, they scored 10, 16 and 18 fast break points. On the other hand, Charlotte depends too much on Kemba, who won't have an easy matchup tonight against a solid defender like Rubio. The Hornets could have some edge down low with Howard, but in my opinion Utah's edges on offense will be bigger than Charlotte's edges on their own offense. Both teams have been playing fast and so, this won't be a traditional slow paced game. I expect a super tight high scoring game and so, I'll be taking both the Jazz and the Over in here.
  • Score 99-88
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.24

01/11 Tracking NBA Play #3

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 11 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team San Antonio
  • Home Team Los Angeles Lakers
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Los Angeles Lakers +2.5
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -107 / 1.93
  • Alternative Book 5 Dimes
  • Line -110 / 1.91
  • Write up
    San Antonio's defense has been solid this season, but they aren't being able to stop their opponents from having big games at the paint, with 46, 50, 64 and 46 points allowed in the paint. The Spurs lack speed in the frontcourt and Portland with their guards but without Lillard were still able to score an insane 64 points in the paint against them. This is something that the Lakers will take advantage of tonight, as they won their last two games by crushing their opponents in the paint. I expect the Lakers' guards to have an edge in penetrations against San Antonio's slow footed frontcourt formed by Gasol and Aldridge.
     
    On the other side, the Lakers' defense has been better lately with KCP back and especially with Walton giving up on the idea of using Randle at Center and Kuzma at the PF position. The Lakers used a more traditional lineup on these two wins with a lineup formed by Lopez and Randle, which should help the Lakers handle Gasol and Aldridge better. I expect the Lakers to be super competitive tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
  • Score 93-81
  • W/L WIN
  • Profit +4.00

01/11 Tracking NBA Play #2

Additional Info

  • Date Thursday, 11 January 2018
  • Sport NBA
  • Road Team Cleveland
  • Home Team Toronto
  • Rating 4* Regular Play
  • Selection Cleveland -3
  • Sportsbook Pinnacle Sports
  • Line -101 / 1.99
  • Alternative Book Bookmaker
  • Line -105 / 1.95
  • Write up
    Cleveland will come to this game with a defensive mindset after allowing 127 points in back to back games. If they managed to win one of these games, they got crushed in Minnesota in the other one. The Cavaliers will catch Toronto without Ibaka and Lowry, a huge blow for the Raptors. Without Lowry, Wright and Van Vleet are Toronto's options for the PG position and they are more defensive minded and with that, IT2 will be able to "hide" on defense against these players.
     
    The Cavaliers seem to be terrible at everything these days, but they are decent at trapping the ball handler and they are also fairly average at guarding pick and roll ball handler plays. Without Lowry, they'll put tons of pressure on DeRozan and with Ibaka out, Toronto will be forced to play a frontcourt player that lacks the outside range that Ibaka has. They won't be able to play Ibaka at Center and so, Thompson will surely play more minutes for Cleveland tonight in order to handle Toronto's big centers. I see this game being a relatively low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in a Top Play. As I believe Cleveland will bounce back tonight against a depleted Raptors team, I'll be also taking the Cavs tonight in a regular play.
  • Score 133-99
  • W/L LOSS
  • Profit -4.04
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