NBA Free Picks: 531 Milwaukee Bucks @ 532 Philadelphia 76ers
Rating: 4 Units – Regular Play
Pick: 531 Milwaukee Bucks (-5.5)
Price: -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle
Rating: 4 Units – Regular Play
Pick: Under 235
Price: -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
Detailed Write Up:
I played the Under PHI/SAS as a top play a couple of days ago and the Sixers really didn’t give me any chance to win as they put up a 139.0 Off. Rtg. I thought the Spurs did a poor job covering the 76ers’ shooters (Green & Curry) but really, it was the size of Tobias Harris and Ben Simmons that created all the mismatches favoring the 76ers offense. The Spurs’ lack of size @ perimeter really hurt them. The same thing happened yesterday for the Knicks… Barrett, Bullock and Randle didn’t have the strength/speed to match Simmons/Harris and both enjoyed great efficient games in a defensive battle.
But now we have the Bucks who have plenty of size on the perimeter to match both 76ers players and make them work hard for easy shots. Yesterday’s game NYK/MIL was a physical battle with the Knicks looking to be the better team until the 4th quarter where the fatigue factor kicked in for the Knicks (especially for Randle) and they didn’t have juice to close the 76ers down the stretch.
Fatigue now could be an issue for PHI: they will play their 5th game in 7 days against the worst possible matchup right now. MIL is red hot right now w/ 9-1 in L10 games; they got Jrue Holiday back and he is playing well while Antetokounmpo is in MVP mode. In the previous H2H’s, Embiid was the 76ers defensive counter for Giannis but he is OUT, and I expect the Bucks to take advantage of that in both ends.
