NBA Free Pick: 537 Brooklyn Nets @ 538 Philadelphia 76ers
Rating: 2 Units – Regular Play
Pick: 537 Over 215.5
Price: -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Write Up:
I am not going to speculate on whether Embiid will play tonight or not, however of course if he plays it will help the Over. The key for this play in my opinion is that not only Maxey will play but he will also receive extended minutes in comparison with the team’s last game where he only played 20 rusty minutes. With Lowry being injured, I am pretty sure he will have a Sixers backcourt formed by McCain and Maxey. With them, the Sixers play faster and with McCain running the show they scored 23, 20 and 18 fast break points in their last three contests when they were averaging only 13.1 fast break points per game until then. Brooklyn lacks a particularly strong defensive backcourt, so I expect Philly to be decent on offense tonight.
On the other side, Philadelphia’s defense has been struggling in defending drives to the basket. They are really on the bottom five of the league in defending drives/FG% and this is bad news against this Nets team that is a drive and kick offensive team (only OKC has a higher drives per possession volume than them). Cam Thomas is back for the Nets, so I believe this will be a very productive offensive game for the star guards of both teams. I am taking the Over on this game tonight.