NBA FREE Pick: 515 Golden State Warriors @ 516 New Orleans Pelicans
Rating: 2 Units – Regular Play
Pick: 515 Golden State Warriors (+4.5)
Price: -110 / 1.91 on DraftKings
Write Up:
We took New Orleans on their first two games and we won both plays in a simple way. They didn’t show a particularly efficient offense as their perimeter shooting and ball movement left a lot to desire but their defense was very good especially in the last game when they limited the Knicks’ offense to 87 points. The blueprint of these performances was some great 3pts defense with 12-43 and 7-37 3pts allowed.
But is this sustainable? Well, Memphis and the NY Knicks shot 8-37 (21.6%) 3pts wide open against them, so the answer is no. Golden State’s offense struggled in terms of 3pts shooting in their first game against Phoenix but they have already shown how good they are in hitting 32-77 (41.6%) 3pts in their last two games. I understand that this is a 3in4-b2b spot for them but they won easily against Houston last night and only Curry played more than 30 minutes (31) and their bench was really the reason why they won so easily last night. Golden State will have a big edge with their bench tonight against a depleted Pelicans’ bench and so, I believe this should be considered a 50/50 matchup.