NBA Pick #1: 567 Brooklyn Nets @ 568 Chicago Bulls
Rating: 3 Units – *TOP PLAY*
Pick: Over 220
Price: -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Write Up:
Even though we lost our Over play in Brooklyn’s last game at Miami, I still believe the market is undervaluing the way Brooklyn has been playing without Claxton. They have been one of the fastest paced teams in the league and they have been using a pure spread out offensive system that is helping them average 16.3 made threes per game! This is bad news for a Chicago defense that has been struggling to avoid their opponents to attempt threes, as they are allowing 42.8% vol 3pts (#29). They are also a slow team at rotating in the perimeter, so I expect Brooklyn to have some nice edges on offense tonight.
On the other side, the lack of size from Brooklyn will be a problem for them against Vucevic, who can operate down low against double teams and the Bulls have been serviceable in attacking the rim. In fact, they scored 54 + 54 points in the paint in their last two games. This game should have had a mid 220s total line so I am taking the Over in here.
NBA Pick #2: 575 Memphis Grizzlies @ 576 Portland Trailblazers
Rating: 2 Units – Regular Play
Pick: 575 Memphis Grizzlies (-3)
Price: -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NBA Pick #3: 573 Dallas Mavericks @ 574 Denver Nuggets
Rating: 2 Units – Regular Play
Pick: Over 228
Price: -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Write Up:
Denver is coming from their worst game of the season where their offense was held to just 89 points. They have not been an aggressive team on offense, they had just 10 FT against Minnesota and their pace has been slower than last season’s. However, given their poor performance last game, I expect them to be much more aggressive tonight. Regardless, Minnesota is one of the best defensive teams in the league and they have a rare size in the frontcourt that can frustrate and limit Jokic. Also their size on the wings with McDaniels and Edwards was a tough matchup for Gordon and Murray.
That’s not the case with their opponents for tonight, the Dallas Mavericks. The Texan team doesn’t have a physical frontcourt and their starting Center is a rookie. Their perimeter defense is also way behind the level of Minnesota’s. This should then be a bounce back offensive game for the Nuggets. On the other side, Dallas’s offense is really clicking with their 3pts shots. They are playing with great pace and I expect them to cause problems to a Denver team that is yet to face a really good shooting team like the Mavs.