NBA FREE Pick: 577 Los Angeles Lakers @ 578 Sacramento Kings
Rating: 2 Units – Regular Play
Pick: Over 235
Price: -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Write Up:
This game should have a frenetic pace from the start as we are in front of two elite teams in transition that will push the ball in every chance they have. Matchup wise, I believe both offenses will have the edge over the defenses. The Lakers’ offense is focused on attacking the rim and they have +40% vol shots at the rim so far this season and this is an area where Sacramento struggles on defense. Note that the Jazz is also a team that focuses on attacking the paint and scored 64 points in the paint against them.
On the other hand, Sacramento is a pure shooting team with a high vol% of 3pts. They are coming from a subpar game against Golden State where they shot 12-40 3pts but they were unlucky as they only hit 6-22 on wide open 3pts. The Lakers’ defense is at their best with AD patrolling the paint but Sacramento isn’t the kind of team that will search for shots at the rim. The Lakers had a very favorable matchup against Phoenix without Beal and Booker, as the Suns struggled to create good outside shots but that won’t be the case of Sacramento tonight.