NBA FREE Pick: 559 Atlanta Hawks @ 560 Indiana Pacers
Rating: 2 Units – Regular Play
 559 Atlanta Hawks (+1.5) First Half
Price: -110 / 1.91 on Circa Sports
Write Up:

I considered having a play on Atlanta FG but the difference of performance from both teams on the clutch this season is mind blowing: IND #2 vs ATL #28. So, I will be taking Atlanta but on a 1H play. Before tonight’s game, Atlanta had a good warm up test against Oklahoma City, as the Thunder’s fast paced offense led by a ball dominant guard is similar to Indiana’s style. If we take away the clutch struggles from Atlanta, the Hawks exploited some edges that they will also have today: rebounding and FT shooting, as the Hawks had a 57.0% rebound rate and a terrific 31-33 mark at the FT line. Indiana is ranked #28 and #29 in these two defensive categories. Naturally Atlanta will have issues in defending Indiana’s offense, but with Jalen Johnson back from injury, the Hawks are now more versatile. In the first game between these two teams this season, Indiana won on the road by 157-152 but Atlanta was the better in the 1H when they outscored Indiana by 86-73.